The Cincinnati Reds (57-48) visit the Los Angeles Dodgers (58-44) at 9:10 PM ET on Saturday.
The Reds (+162 underdog moneyline odds) are away versus the Dodgers (-194). The over/under for the game is set at 10.5 total runs.
The insights in the following article are based off odds valid as of July 29, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Dodgers vs Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dodgers | -194 | +162 | 10.5 |
Dodgers Betting Insights
- This season, the Dodgers have been favored 85 times and won 49, or 57.6%, of those games.
- Los Angeles has a record of 12-10, a 54.5% win rate, when favored by -194 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- The Dodgers have a 66% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Games involving Los Angeles has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 59 of 102 chances this season.
- The Dodgers are 53-49-0 ATS in their 102 games with a spread this season.
Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.9 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 5.54 |
| K/9 | 8 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have been underdogs in 77 games this season and have come away with the win 38 times (49.4%) in those contests.
- This season, Cincinnati has come away with a win five times in 14 chances when named as an underdog of at least +162 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 38.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Cincinnati’s games have gone over the total in 56 of its 105 opportunities.
- The Reds are 65-40-0 against the spread in their 105 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 3.89 |
| K/9 | 8.5 |
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Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Emmet Sheehan
- Sheehan’s team is 2-4-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up eight earned runs and allowed eight hits in 3 2/3 innings against the Texas Rangers.
- In six starts, Sheehan has pitched through or past the fifth inning four times. He has a season average of 4.9 frames per outing.
- He has one appearance with no earned runs allowed in six chances this season.
- When Sheehan starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 3-3.
- Sheehan’s team is 3-3 when he starts this season.
- In games Sheehan has started this season, the teams are 5-1-0 at hitting the over.
Dodgers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yency Almonte | 44 | 43 | 42 | 5.02 | 9 | 0 |
| Brusdar Graterol | 42 | 43.1 | 33 | 1.87 | 11 | 4 |
| Caleb Ferguson | 41 | 39.2 | 48 | 2.5 | 14 | 2 |
| Evan Phillips | 39 | 39.1 | 46 | 2.29 | 6 | 12 |
| Phil Bickford | 36 | 42 | 48 | 5.14 | 3 | 0 |
Reds Probable Pitcher – Luke Weaver
- The Reds are sending Weaver (2-2) out for his 18th start of the season. He is 2-2 with a 7.20 ERA and 65 strikeouts through 80 2/3 innings pitched.
- The righty’s last time out came on Sunday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, when he threw four innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up eight hits.
- Weaver will look to secure his ninth outing of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 4.7 innings per appearance.
- In one of his 17 total appearances this season he has not surrendered an earned run.
- The Reds are 10-6 in Weaver’s 16 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- In Weaver’s 17 starts, his team is 11-6.
- Weaver has had 17 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and 11 of those outings hit the over.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Gibaut | 47 | 51.2 | 45 | 2.96 | 15 | 1 |
| Alex Young | 47 | 41 | 39 | 2.2 | 11 | 1 |
| Alexis Diaz | 47 | 46.1 | 67 | 2.14 | 1 | 31 |
| Buck Farmer | 46 | 50 | 45 | 3.78 | 9 | 2 |
| Lucas Sims | 42 | 41.1 | 49 | 3.7 | 17 | 2 |
Dodgers Hitting Trends
- The Dodgers have hit at least two long balls in 54 games this season, and are 39-15 in those contests.
- Los Angeles is 25-9 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has collected at least eight hits 66 times this season, and has a 46-20 record in those games.
- Los Angeles is 51-16 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Dodgers are 34-14 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Reds Hitting Trends
- They are 28-5 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Cincinnati has won 24 of its 30 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 71 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 51-20.
- Cincinnati has won 55 of its 65 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 17-20 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Dodgers vs. Reds Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Dodgers (-194)
Over/Under Pick: Over (10.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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