Lars Nootbaar leads the St. Louis Cardinals (46-59) into a matchup versus the Chicago Cubs (52-51) following his two-homer performance in a 3-2 defeat to the Cubs. It begins at 7:15 PM ET on Saturday.
The Cardinals are projected as a tight favorite (-114 to win on the moneyline) against the Cubs (-105). The matchup has an over/under set at 10 total runs.
The betting trends in the following article are based off odds valid as of July 29, 2023 at 7:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Cardinals vs Cubs Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals | -114 | -105 | 10 |
Cardinals Betting Insights
- The Cardinals have won 25, or 43.9%, of the 57 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- St. Louis has a record of 23-30 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -114 on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cardinals have a 53.3% chance to win.
- So far this season, St. Louis and its opponents have hit the over in 53 of 104 games with a total.
- The Cardinals are 49-55-0 ATS in their 104 games with a spread this season.
Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 5.44 |
| K/9 | 7.1 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs have been victorious in 22, or 43.1%, of the 51 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Chicago has been victorious 21 times in 47 chances when named as an underdog of at least -105 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 51.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Chicago and its opponents have hit the over in 54 of its 103 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Cubs are 52-51-0 against the spread in their 103 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 9-1 |
| Runs Per Game | 7.6 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 3.70 |
| K/9 | 9.3 |
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Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Adam Wainwright
- Wainwright and his team have a record of 7-5-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up two earned runs in five innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Arizona Diamondbacks.
- Wainwright has started 12 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings nine times. He averages 4.7 innings per appearance.
- He has allowed at least one earned run in every appearance this season.
- Wainwright’s team has been victorious in 25% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 1-3.
- Wainwright’s team has won five of his 12 starts.
- Games started by Wainwright have a 7-5-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Cardinals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Stratton | 41 | 53.2 | 59 | 4.36 | 4 | 1 |
| Giovanny Gallegos | 40 | 43 | 42 | 3.77 | 14 | 8 |
| Jordan Hicks | 39 | 41.2 | 59 | 3.67 | 6 | 8 |
| Drew VerHagen | 36 | 40.1 | 42 | 4.69 | 7 | 0 |
| Andre Pallante | 34 | 38.1 | 32 | 4.70 | 9 | 0 |
Cubs Probable Pitcher – Jameson Taillon
- Taillon (4-6) gets the starting nod for the Cubs in his 18th start of the season. He’s put together a 5.75 ERA in 83 2/3 innings pitched, with 73 strikeouts.
- The righty last pitched on Sunday against the St. Louis Cardinals, when he tossed 5 2/3 innings, allowing one earned run while giving up seven hits.
- Taillon is aiming for his 10th straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.9 frames per start.
- In two of his 17 total appearances this season he has not surrendered an earned run.
- The Cubs have a 3-6 record in Taillon’s nine starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Taillon’s team has put together a 5-12 record in his 17 starts.
- Taillon’s starts hit the over on the run total nine times in 17 games with a set total this season.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Merryweather | 44 | 46 | 61 | 3.72 | 9 | 0 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 41 | 43.1 | 55 | 3.12 | 18 | 3 |
| Michael Fulmer | 41 | 45 | 49 | 4.40 | 8 | 1 |
| Adbert Alzolay | 38 | 46.1 | 52 | 2.33 | 7 | 12 |
| Javier Assad | 16 | 46 | 36 | 3.52 | 0 | 0 |
Cardinals Hitting Trends
- The Cardinals have a 34-19 record in games this season when they hit two or more home runs.
- St. Louis has put up at least five extra-base hits in 32 games this season, and has gone 27-5 in those outings.
- The team is 45-27 in the games this season it has racked up eight or more hits.
- St. Louis is 41-12 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Cardinals are 14-18 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Cubs Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 40 games this season and are 24-16 in those matchups.
- In 18 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 16-2.
- In 69 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 49-20.
- In 53 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 40-13.
- In 37 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 22-15
Cardinals vs. Cubs Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Cubs (-105)
Over/Under Pick: Over (10)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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