Padres vs. Rangers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – July 29, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on July 29, 2023

Nate Lowe takes an 11-game hitting streak into the Texas Rangers’ (60-44) game versus the San Diego Padres (50-54), at 8:40 PM ET on Saturday, at PETCO Park.

The Rangers are an underdog (+153 on the moneyline to win) when they visit the Padres (-183). The contest has an over/under of 9.

The betting facts in the following article reference odds valid as of July 29, 2023 at 7:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Padres vs Rangers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Padres -183 +153 9

Padres Betting Insights

  • This season, the Padres have been favored 78 times and won 41, or 52.6%, of those games.
  • San Diego has entered 23 games this season favored by -183 or more and is 11-12 in those contests.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 64.7% chance of a victory for the Padres.
  • Games involving San Diego has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 41 of 104 chances this season.
  • The Padres are 50-54-0 against the spread this season.

Padres Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.9
HR 15
ERA 2.86
K/9 9.0

Rangers Betting Insights

  • The Rangers have won in 20, or 55.6%, of the 36 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This season, Texas has been victorious two times in four chances when named as an underdog of at least +153 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Rangers have an implied victory probability of 39.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • Texas and its opponents have hit the over in 54 of its 104 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Rangers have an against the spread record of 61-43-0 in 104 games with a line this season.

Rangers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.5
HR 15
ERA 6.52
K/9 8.0

If you’re looking for a place to bet on the Padres or Rangers, look no further than DraftKings Sportsbook, where you can use our link to get the best offer for new depositors!

Padres Probable Pitcher – Yu Darvish

  • Darvish’s team is 8-10-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The right-hander gave up seven earned runs in 4 1/3 innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates.
  • Darvish has made 16 starts of five or more innings in 18 chances this season, and averages 5.6 frames when he pitches.
  • He has two appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 18 chances this season.
  • Darvish’s team has won 42.9% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (6-8).
  • Darvish’s team has an 8-10 record in his starts this season.
  • Games started by Darvish have a 9-9-0 record at hitting the over this season.

Padres Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Tim Hill 43 42.1 26 4.04 9 0
Josh Hader 40 38 58 0.95 0 24
Nick Martínez 39 73.2 67 3.79 13 1
Steven Wilson 39 42 44 2.57 19 0
Luís Garcia 38 36.2 38 5.40 9 0

Rangers Probable Pitcher – Martin Perez

  • Perez (8-3) gets the starting nod for the Rangers in his 20th start of the season. He has a 4.91 ERA in 102 2/3 innings pitched, with 68 strikeouts.
  • His last appearance came on Sunday against the Los Angeles Dodgers, when the lefty went six innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up six hits.
  • Perez will try to prolong a three-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.4 frames per outing).
  • He has held his opponents without an earned run in two of his 19 appearances this season.
  • The Rangers are 6-3 in Pérez’s nine starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Over Pérez’s 19 starts, his team is 13-6.
  • Perez has had 19 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in 12 of those outings.

Rangers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Aroldis Chapman 37 37.1 67 2.65 8 3
Will Smith 36 37 38 2.68 5 17
Brock Burke 33 41 31 2.63 9 0
José Leclerc 31 32.1 35 2.78 2 1
Josh Sborz 28 37.2 52 4.54 10 0

Padres Hitting Trends

  • The Padres are 25-20 this season in games when they crush at least two homers.
  • San Diego has had at least five extra-base hits in 28 games this season, and has gone 20-8 in those outings.
  • The club has totaled at least eight hits in 56 games this season, and is 39-17 in those contests.
  • San Diego is 42-7 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Padres have drawn five or more walks in 46 games this season, and are 27-19 in those contests.

Rangers Hitting Trends

  • They have won 35 of the 49 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • In 35 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 23-12.
  • They have a record of 59-28 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Texas has a 54-18 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have a 24-15 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Padres vs. Rangers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Padres (-183)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

Ready to bet? Check out our great offer for new users at DraftKings, no promo code required!

Odds subject to change. Not all offers available in all areas. See DraftKings for offer details, terms and conditions. Must be 21+ to gamble, please wager responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, contact 1-800-GAMBLER.

PlayPicks Staff Avatar
Written by
PlayPicks Staff

PlayPicks staff has years of sports betting and DFS knowledge and we share all of that with you for free daily.

View all posts by PlayPicks Staff
Privacy Policy