Nate Lowe takes an 11-game hitting streak into the Texas Rangers’ (60-44) game versus the San Diego Padres (50-54), at 8:40 PM ET on Saturday, at PETCO Park.
The Rangers are an underdog (+153 on the moneyline to win) when they visit the Padres (-183). The contest has an over/under of 9.
The betting facts in the following article reference odds valid as of July 29, 2023 at 7:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Padres vs Rangers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -183 | +153 | 9 |
Padres Betting Insights
- This season, the Padres have been favored 78 times and won 41, or 52.6%, of those games.
- San Diego has entered 23 games this season favored by -183 or more and is 11-12 in those contests.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 64.7% chance of a victory for the Padres.
- Games involving San Diego has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 41 of 104 chances this season.
- The Padres are 50-54-0 against the spread this season.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 2.86 |
| K/9 | 9.0 |
Rangers Betting Insights
- The Rangers have won in 20, or 55.6%, of the 36 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Texas has been victorious two times in four chances when named as an underdog of at least +153 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Rangers have an implied victory probability of 39.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Texas and its opponents have hit the over in 54 of its 104 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Rangers have an against the spread record of 61-43-0 in 104 games with a line this season.
Rangers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.5 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 6.52 |
| K/9 | 8.0 |
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Padres Probable Pitcher – Yu Darvish
- Darvish’s team is 8-10-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander gave up seven earned runs in 4 1/3 innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates.
- Darvish has made 16 starts of five or more innings in 18 chances this season, and averages 5.6 frames when he pitches.
- He has two appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 18 chances this season.
- Darvish’s team has won 42.9% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (6-8).
- Darvish’s team has an 8-10 record in his starts this season.
- Games started by Darvish have a 9-9-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hill | 43 | 42.1 | 26 | 4.04 | 9 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 40 | 38 | 58 | 0.95 | 0 | 24 |
| Nick Martínez | 39 | 73.2 | 67 | 3.79 | 13 | 1 |
| Steven Wilson | 39 | 42 | 44 | 2.57 | 19 | 0 |
| Luís Garcia | 38 | 36.2 | 38 | 5.40 | 9 | 0 |
Rangers Probable Pitcher – Martin Perez
- Perez (8-3) gets the starting nod for the Rangers in his 20th start of the season. He has a 4.91 ERA in 102 2/3 innings pitched, with 68 strikeouts.
- His last appearance came on Sunday against the Los Angeles Dodgers, when the lefty went six innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up six hits.
- Perez will try to prolong a three-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.4 frames per outing).
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in two of his 19 appearances this season.
- The Rangers are 6-3 in Pérez’s nine starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Over Pérez’s 19 starts, his team is 13-6.
- Perez has had 19 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in 12 of those outings.
Rangers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aroldis Chapman | 37 | 37.1 | 67 | 2.65 | 8 | 3 |
| Will Smith | 36 | 37 | 38 | 2.68 | 5 | 17 |
| Brock Burke | 33 | 41 | 31 | 2.63 | 9 | 0 |
| José Leclerc | 31 | 32.1 | 35 | 2.78 | 2 | 1 |
| Josh Sborz | 28 | 37.2 | 52 | 4.54 | 10 | 0 |
Padres Hitting Trends
- The Padres are 25-20 this season in games when they crush at least two homers.
- San Diego has had at least five extra-base hits in 28 games this season, and has gone 20-8 in those outings.
- The club has totaled at least eight hits in 56 games this season, and is 39-17 in those contests.
- San Diego is 42-7 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Padres have drawn five or more walks in 46 games this season, and are 27-19 in those contests.
Rangers Hitting Trends
- They have won 35 of the 49 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 35 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 23-12.
- They have a record of 59-28 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Texas has a 54-18 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 24-15 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Padres vs. Rangers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Padres (-183)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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