The Atlanta Braves (65-36) will look to Michael Harris, on a 10-game hitting streak, against the Milwaukee Brewers (57-47) at 7:20 PM ET on Saturday, at Truist Park.
The Braves are a home favorite (-199) against the Brewers (+167). The matchup has an over/under set at 10 total runs.
The betting trends in this article reference odds valid as of July 29, 2023 at 7:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Brewers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -199 | +167 | 10 |
Braves Betting Insights
- This season, the Braves have won 57 out of the 88 games, or 64.8%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Atlanta is 22-7 this season when entering a game favored by -199 or more on the moneyline.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 66.6% chance of a victory for the Braves.
- Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 53 of its 101 games with a total this season.
- The Braves are 51-50-0 against the spread this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 5.90 |
| K/9 | 9.0 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have won in 28, or 53.8%, of the 52 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Milwaukee has been listed as an underdog of +167 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
- The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 37.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Milwaukee’s games have gone over the total in 43 of its 104 opportunities.
- The Brewers are 52-52-0 against the spread in their 104 games that had a posted line this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 3.58 |
| K/9 | 10.6 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Bryce Elder
- When Elder starts, his team is 11-9-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander gave up two earned runs in six innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the Milwaukee Brewers.
- Elder has 18 starts of five or more innings this season in 20 chances. He averages 5.7 innings per outing.
- He has made 20 appearances and finished five of them without allowing an earned run.
- Elder’s team has a record of 11-4 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- In games Elder has started, his team is 14-6.
- Out of Elder’s 20 starts with a total this season, seven have hit the over.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierce Johnson | 44 | 40.2 | 59 | 5.75 | 5 | 13 |
| Kirby Yates | 37 | 39 | 52 | 3.46 | 6 | 2 |
| Joe Jiménez | 36 | 36.2 | 44 | 2.70 | 9 | 0 |
| Raisel Iglesias | 32 | 30.2 | 38 | 3.82 | 0 | 19 |
| Collin McHugh | 30 | 42 | 31 | 3.43 | 7 | 0 |
Brewers Probable Pitcher – Julio Teheran
- The Brewers will send Teheran (2-4) to the mound to make his 11th start of the season. He is 2-4 with a 3.75 ERA and 40 strikeouts through 57 2/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander’s most recent time out came on Sunday against the Atlanta Braves, when he threw six innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up three hits.
- Teheran heads into this matchup with nine outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
- He has made two appearances this season in which he did not allow an earned run.
- The Brewers have been the underdog on the moneyline in eight of Teherán’s starts this season, and they went 2-6 in those games.
- Teherán’s team has a 3-7 record in his 10 starts.
- Teheran has had 10 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in two of those matchups.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 46 | 41.2 | 40 | 2.16 | 10 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 44 | 48.1 | 55 | 1.68 | 20 | 3 |
| Devin Williams | 40 | 40.1 | 59 | 1.56 | 0 | 26 |
| Elvis Peguero | 38 | 41 | 36 | 3.29 | 14 | 1 |
| Bryse Wilson | 34 | 49.2 | 42 | 3.44 | 3 | 3 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves have a 40-14 record this season in games when they belt at least two homers.
- Atlanta is 25-3 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
- The club is 49-21 in the games this season it has strung together at least eight hits.
- Atlanta has a 51-11 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Braves have gone 18-11 over the 29 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Brewers Hitting Trends
- They are 35-7 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Milwaukee is undefeated in 10 games this season with five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 55 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 40-15.
- Milwaukee has won 46 of its 54 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 36 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 27-9
Braves vs. Brewers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-199)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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