Marlins vs. Tigers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – July 29, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on July 29, 2023

The Detroit Tigers (46-58) will look to stop a four-game losing streak when visiting the Miami Marlins (56-48) at 4:10 PM ET on Saturday.

The Tigers (+134 underdog on the moneyline) are away versus the Marlins (-159). The total for the game is set at 8.5 total runs.

The betting facts in what follows use the latest odds as of July 29, 2023 at 3:23 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Marlins vs Tigers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Marlins -159 +134 8.5

Marlins Betting Insights

  • The Marlins have entered the game as favorites 51 times this season and won 32, or 62.7%, of those games.
  • Miami is 15-4 this season when entering a game favored by -159 or more on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Marlins, based on the moneyline, is 61.4%.
  • Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 49 of 104 opportunities.
  • In 104 games with a spread this season, the Marlins are 47-57-0 ATS.

Marlins Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.5
HR 5
ERA 4.03
K/9 10.1

Tigers Betting Insights

  • The Tigers have won in 36, or 41.9%, of the 86 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This season, Detroit has been victorious 23 times in 52 chances when named as an underdog of at least +134 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Tigers have a 42.7% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Detroit’s games have gone over the total in 55 of its 105 opportunities.
  • The Tigers have an against the spread mark of 56-49-0 in 105 games with a line this season.

Tigers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.6
HR 7
ERA 5.20
K/9 7.4

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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Johnny Cueto

  • Cueto has a record of 0-2-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, July 22, when he threw six innings against the Colorado Rockies, giving up one earned run.
  • Cueto’s team lost his only start as a favorite this season.
  • Cueto’s team is 0-2 when he starts this season.
  • In the two games with a total started by Cueto this season, the teams hit the over once.

Marlins Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Tanner Scott 43 48.2 71 2.96 20 2
Huascar Brazoban 40 50.1 51 3.75 13 0
Steven Okert 36 36 49 3.25 10 0
Jorge López 35 35.1 27 5.09 6 3
A.J. Puk 34 33.1 44 4.86 0 16

Tigers Probable Pitcher – Beau Brieske

  • Brieske will start for the Tigers, his first this season.
  • The 25-year-old righty has five appearances out of the bullpen this season.
  • Brieske and his team went 5-7 in the 12 games he appeared in when they were moneyline underdogs a season ago.
  • His team went 6-9 in games he pitched in last season.
  • The games he appeared in last season went over the run total set by bookmakers four times in 15 opportunities.

Tigers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jason Foley 44 45.1 40 2.38 18 4
Chasen Shreve 42 38.1 39 4.70 11 0
José Cisnero 41 39.2 44 3.86 11 1
Alex Lange 41 41.2 53 3.89 2 17
Tyler Holton 32 53 46 1.70 6 0

Marlins Hitting Trends

  • The Marlins have a 12-19 record this season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
  • Miami is 17-1 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club has put up eight or more hits in 83 games this season, and is 46-37 in those contests.
  • Miami is 38-11 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Marlins are 12-11 in the 23 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Tigers Hitting Trends

  • They have won 16 of the 25 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • In 16 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 12-4.
  • In 61 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 43-18.
  • In 47 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 36-11.
  • In 27 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 17-10

Marlins vs. Tigers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Marlins (-159)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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