The Baltimore Orioles (63-40) host the New York Yankees (54-49) at 7:15 PM ET on Saturday.
The Yankees are an underdog (+101 on the moneyline to win) when they take on the Orioles (-120). The over/under for the game is set at 9.5 total runs.
The betting facts in the article below use the latest odds as of July 29, 2023 at 7:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Orioles vs Yankees Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | -120 | +101 | 9.5 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles have won 32, or 69.6%, of the 46 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Baltimore has entered 40 games this season favored by -120 or more and is 30-10 in those contests.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Orioles.
- Games involving Baltimore has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 52 of 103 chances this season.
- The Orioles have an ATS record of 63-40-0 in 103 games with a spread this season.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 4.09 |
| K/9 | 8.4 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- The Yankees have been victorious in 14, or 41.2%, of the 34 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, New York has come away with a win 12 times in 27 chances when named as an underdog of at least +101 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Yankees have a 49.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 45 of its 103 opportunities.
- The Yankees are 53-50-0 against the spread in their 103 games that had a posted line this season.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 4.40 |
| K/9 | 10.3 |
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Orioles Probable Pitcher – Tyler Wells
- Wells’ team is 10-9-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed one hit in 4 1/3 innings against the Tampa Bay Rays.
- Wells has 18 starts of five or more innings this season in 19 chances. He averages 5.6 innings per outing.
- He has made 20 appearances and finished three of them without allowing an earned run.
- Wells’ team has been victorious in 61.5% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 8-5.
- Wells’ team has an 11-8 record in his starts this season.
- Games started by Wells have an 8-9-2 record at hitting the over this season.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yeinier Cano | 44 | 50 | 43 | 1.80 | 24 | 4 |
| Michael Baumann | 44 | 49.1 | 52 | 3.47 | 6 | 0 |
| Felix Bautista | 44 | 50 | 98 | 0.90 | 0 | 28 |
| Bryan Baker | 43 | 40.1 | 48 | 3.79 | 11 | 0 |
| Danny Coulombe | 42 | 35 | 41 | 3.09 | 18 | 1 |
Yankees Probable Pitcher – Clarke Schmidt
- Schmidt gets the start for the Yankees, his 21st of the season. He is 6-6 with a 4.33 ERA and 97 strikeouts in 99 2/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander’s last time out came on Friday, July 21 against the Kansas City Royals, when he went 5 2/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up five hits.
- Schmidt will look to build upon a three-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 4.7 frames per appearance).
- He has made five appearances this season in which he did not give up an earned run.
- The Yankees have a 1-4 record in Schmidt’s five starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Schmidt’s team has an 8-12 record in his starts this season.
- Schmidt has had 20 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and seven of those games hit the over.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | 45 | 39.1 | 32 | 2.29 | 14 | 4 |
| Ron Marinaccio | 41 | 43.2 | 51 | 4.33 | 7 | 2 |
| Clay Holmes | 41 | 40.2 | 50 | 1.77 | 5 | 14 |
| Michael King | 34 | 54 | 62 | 3.17 | 6 | 6 |
| Albert Abreu | 33 | 42 | 47 | 4.29 | 3 | 0 |
Orioles Hitting Trends
- The Orioles have put up two or more dingers in 40 games this season, and are 29-11 in those outings.
- Baltimore has gone 26-3 in its 29 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has strung together eight or more hits in 64 games this season, and is 43-21 in those contests.
- Baltimore has a 47-9 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Orioles are 21-6 over the 27 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Yankees Hitting Trends
- They are 42-14 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- New York has gone 13-2 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 64 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 43-21.
- New York has won 41 of its 53 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 28 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 17-11
Orioles vs. Yankees Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Orioles (-120)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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