The Philadelphia Phillies (56-47) ride a three-game winning streak into a road contest versus the Pittsburgh Pirates (45-58) at 7:05 PM ET on Saturday.
The Pirates are an underdog (+154 moneyline odds to win) when they host the Phillies (-183). The over/under for this game is set at 9.
The betting trends in what follows reflect odds as of July 29, 2023 at 7:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -183 | +154 | 9 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- This season, the Phillies have won 39 out of the 65 games, or 60%, in which they’ve been favored.
- This season Philadelphia has won 11 of its 18 games, or 61.1%, when favored by at least -183 on the moneyline.
- The Phillies have a 64.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 42 of its 103 games with a total this season.
- The Phillies are 44-59-0 against the spread this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.4 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 3.13 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have been chosen as underdogs in 82 games this year and have walked away with the win 33 times (40.2%) in those games.
- This season, Pittsburgh has been victorious eight times in 17 chances when named as an underdog of at least +154 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 39.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents have hit the over in 52 of its 103 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Pirates are 47-56-0 against the spread in their 103 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.4 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 5.59 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Aaron Nola
- Nola and his team are 8-13-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed seven innings while giving up three earned runs on six hits in a matchup with the Cleveland Guardians.
- Nola will look to finish five or more innings for the 21st start in a row.
- He has finished two appearances without allowing an earned run in 21 chances this season.
- Nola’s team is 9-4 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Nola’s team has won 11 of his 21 starts this season.
- In games Nola has started this season, the teams are 11-8-2 at hitting the over.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | 46 | 44 | 64 | 3.27 | 4 | 17 |
| Gregory Soto | 44 | 39.1 | 38 | 4.35 | 15 | 2 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 33 | 28 | 30 | 4.18 | 10 | 0 |
| Yunior Marte | 30 | 28.2 | 26 | 5.02 | 2 | 2 |
| Andrew Vasquez | 28 | 39.2 | 34 | 2.04 | 0 | 0 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Quinn Priester
- The Pirates are sending Priester (1-1) to the mound to make his third start of the season.
- The righty last pitched on Tuesday against the San Diego Padres, when he tossed 5 1/3 innings, allowing four earned runs while giving up four hits.
- Priester will look to last five or more innings for his third straight start. He’s averaging 5.1 innings per outing.
- The Pirates were named the moneyline underdog for two Priester starts this season — they split the games.
- His team split the two matchups he’s appeared in this season.
- Priester’s two starts with a total this season both went over.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dauri Moreta | 44 | 45.1 | 62 | 3.57 | 4 | 1 |
| David Bednar | 38 | 40 | 49 | 1.35 | 0 | 20 |
| Colin Holderman | 35 | 34 | 34 | 3.71 | 15 | 1 |
| Jose Hernandez | 28 | 30.1 | 35 | 3.26 | 4 | 0 |
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 19 | 24.1 | 14 | 5.18 | 3 | 2 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies are 22-8 this season in games when they send out at least two bombs.
- Philadelphia is 18-6 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has totaled eight or more hits 67 times this season, and has a 44-23 record in those games.
- Philadelphia has a 39-6 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Phillies have drawn at least five walks in 33 games this season, and are 24-9 in those contests.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They are 20-7 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 20 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 17-3.
- They have won 31 of the 45 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 35 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 28-7.
- They have won 14 of their 29 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Phillies vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Phillies (-183)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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