Kyle Tucker leads the Houston Astros (58-46) into a matchup against Yandy Diaz and the Tampa Bay Rays (63-43) at Minute Maid Park, on Saturday at 7:15 PM ET. Tucker is at .304, the ninth-best average in the league, and Diaz is fifth at .315.
The Rays (+121 underdog on the moneyline to win) visit the Astros (-143). The total in the game is set at 8.5 total runs.
The betting insights in the article below are based off odds valid as of July 29, 2023 at 7:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Astros vs Rays Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | -143 | +121 | 8.5 |
Astros Betting Insights
- The Astros have won 39, or 54.9%, of the 71 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Houston has entered 45 games this season favored by -143 or more and is 27-18 in those contests.
- The implied probability of a win from the Astros, based on the moneyline, is 58.8%.
- Houston’s games have gone over the total in 50 of its 104 chances.
- The Astros have an ATS record of 52-52-0 in 104 games with a spread this season.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 4.19 |
| K/9 | 7.9 |
Rays Betting Insights
- The Rays have won in six, or 35.3%, of the 17 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Tampa Bay has a win-loss record of 1-3 when favored by +121 or worse by bookmakers this year.
- The Rays have an implied victory probability of 45.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Tampa Bay and its opponents have hit the over in 54 of its 106 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- In 106 games with a line this season, the Rays have a mark of 57-49-0 against the spread.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.9 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 3.68 |
| K/9 | 11.3 |
If you’re looking for a place to bet on the Astros or Rays, look no further than DraftKings Sportsbook, where you can use our link to get the best offer for new depositors!
Astros Probable Pitcher – Hunter Brown
- Brown’s team is 6-13-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw six innings against the Oakland Athletics, giving up two earned runs while allowing six hits.
- Brown has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has made 19 appearances and finished four of them without allowing an earned run.
- Brown’s team is 7-7 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Brown’s team is 10-9 when he starts this season.
- Games Brown has started this season hit the over eight times in 19 chances.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | 48 | 49.1 | 75 | 2.55 | 17 | 3 |
| Phil Maton | 47 | 48 | 52 | 3.00 | 8 | 1 |
| Héctor Neris | 45 | 44.2 | 50 | 1.41 | 21 | 2 |
| Ryan Pressly | 45 | 47.1 | 50 | 3.23 | 0 | 24 |
| Kendall Graveman | 44 | 44 | 42 | 3.48 | 8 | 8 |
Rays Probable Pitcher – Taj Bradley
- The Rays will send Bradley (5-6) to the mound for his 16th start of the season. He is 5-6 with a 5.17 ERA and 95 strikeouts in 71 1/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander last pitched on Sunday against the Baltimore Orioles, when he went five innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up five hits.
- Bradley is aiming for his fourth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.7 frames per start.
- He has made two appearances this season in which he did not give up an earned run.
- The Rays were the moneyline underdog for four Bradley starts this season — they lost all of the games.
- Bradley’s team has a 6-9 record in his starts this season.
- Bradley has started 15 contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in eight of them.
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Adam | 42 | 42 | 52 | 2.57 | 10 | 10 |
| Colin Poche | 41 | 38 | 32 | 2.13 | 13 | 1 |
| Jake Diekman | 40 | 32.1 | 39 | 4.18 | 7 | 0 |
| Kevin Kelly | 38 | 45.2 | 37 | 2.96 | 9 | 2 |
| Robert Stephenson | 37 | 32.1 | 43 | 3.90 | 8 | 0 |
Astros Hitting Trends
- The Astros have a 24-9 record this season in games when they belt two or more homers.
- Houston has collected at least five extra-base hits in 20 games this season, and has gone 15-5 in those contests.
- The club has collected at least eight hits 70 times this season, and has a 55-15 record in those games.
- Houston has a 49-9 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Astros have drawn at least five walks in 30 games this season, and are 23-7 in those contests.
Rays Hitting Trends
- They have won 35 of the 47 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Tampa Bay has gone 25-2 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 47-25 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Tampa Bay has a 45-18 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 25 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 19-6
Astros vs. Rays Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Astros (-143)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
Ready to bet? Check out our great offer for new users at DraftKings, no promo code required!
Odds subject to change. Not all offers available in all areas. See DraftKings for offer details, terms and conditions. Must be 21+ to gamble, please wager responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, contact 1-800-GAMBLER.
