The Minnesota Twins (54-51) will aim to snap a three-game losing streak when visiting the Kansas City Royals (30-75) at 7:10 PM ET on Saturday.
The Twins are favored (-186 on the moneyline to win) when they take the field at the Royals (+155). The matchup has an over/under of 9.5 total runs.
The betting facts in this article use the latest odds as of July 29, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Royals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -186 | +155 | 9.5 |
Twins Betting Insights
- The Twins have been favorites in 67 games this season and won 41 (61.2%) of those contests.
- This season Minnesota has won 11 of its 17 games, or 64.7%, when favored by at least -186 on the moneyline.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 65% chance of a victory for the Twins.
- Games involving Minnesota has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 49 of 105 chances this season.
- The Twins are 49-56-0 against the spread in their 105 chances this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.6 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 4.45 |
| K/9 | 10.2 |
Royals Betting Insights
- The Royals have won in 27, or 29.3%, of the 92 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This year, Kansas City has won 12 of 45 games when listed as at least +155 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 39.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Kansas City and its opponents have gone over in 48 of its 105 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Royals have an against the spread record of 42-63-0 in 105 games with a line this season.
Royals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 5.44 |
| K/9 | 6.7 |
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Bailey Ober
- Ober and his team have a record of 8-8-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up two earned runs in six innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the Chicago White Sox.
- Ober will look to finish five or more innings for the 17th start in a row.
- In 16 appearances this season, he has finished three without allowing an earned run.
- Ober’s team is 6-4 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Ober’s team has a 10-6 record in his starts this season.
- Games started by Ober have a 4-12-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 45 | 43.1 | 42 | 2.91 | 14 | 1 |
| Dylan Floro | 41 | 40 | 41 | 4.50 | 9 | 7 |
| Emilio Pagán | 40 | 45.1 | 43 | 3.38 | 2 | 0 |
| Jovani Moran | 39 | 41 | 46 | 5.05 | 9 | 0 |
| Jhoan Duran | 38 | 40.2 | 55 | 2.66 | 1 | 17 |
Royals Probable Pitcher – Jordan Lyles
- Lyles gets the start for the Royals, his 20th of the season. He is 1-12 with a 6.02 ERA and 76 strikeouts in 107 2/3 innings pitched.
- The righty’s most recent time out came on Sunday against the New York Yankees, when he went five innings, surrendering five earned runs while giving up nine hits.
- Lyles will try to build on an 11-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.6 frames per outing).
- He has had one outing this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Royals are 1-16 in Lyles’ 17 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Lyles’ team has won one of his 19 starts.
- Lyles has had 19 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in nine of those games.
Royals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Cuas | 41 | 41.1 | 52 | 4.14 | 3 | 0 |
| Taylor Clarke | 40 | 44 | 48 | 5.73 | 10 | 0 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 37 | 51 | 58 | 3.71 | 9 | 0 |
| Scott Barlow | 35 | 37.2 | 45 | 5.50 | 0 | 12 |
| Amir Garrett | 25 | 24.1 | 28 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins are 41-11 this season in games when they hit at least two bombs.
- Minnesota is 30-5 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has collected at least eight hits in 65 games this season, and is 49-16 in those contests.
- Minnesota is 51-8 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Twins are 23-12 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Royals Hitting Trends
- They are 9-15 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Kansas City has gone 10-15 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 22 of the 58 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Kansas City has won 20 of its 32 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 14 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 3-11
Twins vs. Royals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Twins (-186)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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