The Miami Marlins (55-48) host the Detroit Tigers (46-57) to open a three-game series at LoanDepot park, with first pitch at 6:40 PM ET on Friday. The Marlins are coming off a series split with the Rays, and the Tigers a series loss to the Angels.
The Tigers are an underdog (+132 on the moneyline to win) when they visit the Marlins (-157). The over/under in the game is set at 7.5 total runs.
The betting trends in the article below use the latest odds as of July 28, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Marlins vs Tigers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | -157 | +132 | 7.5 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have won 31, or 62%, of the 50 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- This season Miami has won 15 of its 19 games, or 78.9%, when favored by at least -157 on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 61.1% chance to win.
- So far this season, Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 48 of 103 games with a total.
- The Marlins have an ATS record of 47-56-0 in 103 games with a spread this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.4 |
| HR | 4 |
| ERA | 4.29 |
| K/9 | 10.2 |
Tigers Betting Insights
- The Tigers have been chosen as underdogs in 85 games this year and have walked away with the win 36 times (42.4%) in those games.
- Detroit has a mark of 24-29 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +132 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 43.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Detroit and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 54 of its 104 opportunities.
- The Tigers are 55-49-0 against the spread in their 104 games that had a posted line this season.
Tigers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 5.70 |
| K/9 | 7.6 |
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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Braxton Garrett
- Garrett’s team is 10-8-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The left-hander’s last appearance was on Friday, when he threw three innings against the Colorado Rockies, giving up six earned runs while allowing seven hits.
- Garrett has started 18 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 14 times. He averages 5.0 innings per appearance.
- He has three appearances with no earned runs allowed in 20 chances this season.
- Garrett’s team has a record of 8-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Garrett’s team has a 13-5 record in his starts this season.
- Out of Garrett’s 18 starts with a total this season, nine have hit the over.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | 42 | 48 | 71 | 2.81 | 19 | 2 |
| Huascar Brazoban | 39 | 49.2 | 50 | 3.62 | 12 | 0 |
| Steven Okert | 36 | 36 | 49 | 3.25 | 10 | 0 |
| Jorge López | 35 | 35.1 | 27 | 5.09 | 6 | 3 |
| A.J. Puk | 33 | 32.1 | 41 | 4.73 | 0 | 15 |
Tigers Probable Pitcher – Reese Olson
- Olson makes the start for the Tigers, his eighth of the season. He is 1-4 with a 4.53 ERA and 45 strikeouts in 43 2/3 innings pitched.
- His most recent time out was on Friday against the San Diego Padres, when the right-hander threw five innings, surrendering five earned runs while giving up seven hits.
- Olson will try to build on a three-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 4.3 frames per appearance).
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in one of his 10 appearances this season.
- The Tigers have a 3-4 record in Olson’s seven starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Olson’s team has a 4-4 record in his starts this season.
- Olson has started eight games with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in four of them.
Tigers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Foley | 43 | 44.1 | 39 | 2.03 | 18 | 4 |
| Chasen Shreve | 42 | 38.1 | 39 | 4.70 | 11 | 0 |
| Alex Lange | 41 | 41.2 | 53 | 3.89 | 2 | 17 |
| José Cisnero | 40 | 38.2 | 43 | 3.96 | 11 | 1 |
| Tyler Holton | 32 | 53 | 46 | 1.70 | 6 | 0 |
Marlins Hitting Trends
- The Marlins have hit at least two long balls in 31 games this season, and are 12-19 in those outings.
- Miami has racked up at least five extra-base hits in 18 games this season, and has gone 17-1 in those contests.
- The team has racked up eight or more hits 82 times this season, and has a 45-37 record in those games.
- Miami is 37-11 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Marlins are 12-11 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Tigers Hitting Trends
- They are 16-9 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 16 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 12-4.
- In 60 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 43-17.
- Detroit has won 36 of its 46 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 17-10 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Marlins vs. Tigers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Marlins (-157)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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