The St. Louis Cardinals (46-57) host the Chicago Cubs (50-51) to start a four-game series at Busch Stadium, with first pitch at 7:45 PM ET on Thursday. The Cardinals are on the back of a series victory over the Diamondbacks, and the Cubs a series win over the White Sox.
Oddsmakers project the Cardinals as a small favorite (-115 moneyline odds) against the Cubs (-105). The over/under for this game is 9.5.
The insights in the following article reflect odds as of July 27, 2023 at 7:25 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Cardinals vs Cubs Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals | -115 | -105 | 9.5 |
Cardinals Betting Insights
- The Cardinals have been favorites in 55 games this season and won 25 (45.5%) of those contests.
- St. Louis is 22-28 this season when entering a game favored by -115 or more on the moneyline.
- The Cardinals have a 53.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- St. Louis’ games have gone over the total in 52 of its 102 chances.
- The Cardinals are 49-53-0 against the spread this season.
Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.7 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.66 |
| K/9 | 7.7 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs have been victorious in 20, or 40.8%, of the 49 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This year, Chicago has won 19 of 45 games when listed as at least -105 or worse on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cubs have a 51.2% chance of pulling out a win.
- Chicago and its opponents have gone over in 53 of its 101 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Cubs are 50-51-0 against the spread in their 101 games that had a posted line this season.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 7.4 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 5.00 |
| K/9 | 9.0 |
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Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Miles Mikolas
- Mikolas’ team is 9-12-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander gave up five earned runs and allowed 11 hits in five innings pitched against the Chicago Cubs on Saturday.
- Mikolas has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has finished five appearances without allowing an earned run in 22 chances this season.
- When Mikolas starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 7-7.
- Mikolas’ team has a 10-12 record in his starts this season.
- Out of Mikolas’ 21 starts with a total this season, 12 have hit the over.
Cardinals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Stratton | 40 | 52.1 | 59 | 4.47 | 4 | 1 |
| Giovanny Gallegos | 39 | 42 | 41 | 3.86 | 14 | 8 |
| Jordan Hicks | 39 | 41.2 | 59 | 3.67 | 6 | 8 |
| Drew VerHagen | 35 | 38.1 | 40 | 4.70 | 7 | 0 |
| Andre Pallante | 33 | 37.2 | 31 | 4.78 | 9 | 0 |
Cubs Probable Pitcher – Justin Steele
- Steele (10-3) takes the mound first for the Cubs in his 19th start of the season. He has a 2.95 ERA in 103 2/3 innings pitched, with 96 strikeouts.
- His most recent appearance came on Friday against the St. Louis Cardinals, when the lefty tossed 6 1/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing six hits.
- Steele will aim to pitch five or more innings for his seventh straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.7 innings per outing.
- In five of his 18 total appearances this season he has not surrendered an earned run.
- The Cubs have been the moneyline underdog in six of Steele’s starts this season, and they went 2-4 in those matchups.
- Steele’s team has won 11 of his 18 starts.
- Steele’s starts hit the over on the run total eight times in 18 games with a set total this season.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Merryweather | 43 | 44.2 | 60 | 3.83 | 8 | 0 |
| Michael Fulmer | 41 | 45 | 49 | 4.40 | 8 | 1 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 41 | 43.1 | 55 | 3.12 | 18 | 3 |
| Adbert Alzolay | 37 | 45 | 51 | 2.40 | 7 | 11 |
| Michael Rucker | 31 | 38.1 | 38 | 5.17 | 0 | 0 |
Cardinals Hitting Trends
- The Cardinals have put up at least two home runs in 51 games this season, and are 34-17 in those outings.
- St. Louis has had at least five extra-base hits in 31 games this season, and has gone 27-4 in those contests.
- The team has totaled at least eight hits 71 times this season, and has a 45-26 record in those games.
- St. Louis has a 41-12 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Cardinals are 14-18 over the 32 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Cubs Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 40 games this season and are 24-16 in those matchups.
- Chicago has gone 16-2 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 47 of the 67 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Chicago has won 39 of its 52 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 20 of their 35 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Cardinals vs. Cubs Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Cardinals (-115)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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