Angels vs. Tigers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – July 27, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on July 27, 2023

Mickey Moniak brings a 15-game hitting streak into the Los Angeles Angels’ (52-49) game against the Detroit Tigers (46-55) at 1:10 PM ET on Thursday, at Comerica Park.

As the favorite, the Angels (-127 moneyline odds) take the field at the Tigers (+108). The game’s total is set at 9.

The betting insights in what follows use the latest odds as of July 27, 2023 at 1:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Angels vs Tigers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Angels -127 +108 9

Angels Betting Insights

  • This season, the Angels have been favored 58 times and won 31, or 53.4%, of those games.
  • Los Angeles has entered 44 games this season favored by -127 or more and is 21-23 in those contests.
  • The Angels have a 55.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Los Angeles’ games have gone over the total in 51 of its 101 chances.
  • The Angels are 49-52-0 against the spread this season.

Angels Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 6.4
HR 20
ERA 4.65
K/9 12.1

Tigers Betting Insights

  • The Tigers have been chosen as underdogs in 83 games this year and have walked away with the win 36 times (43.4%) in those games.
  • This season, Detroit has come away with a win 30 times in 72 chances when named as an underdog of at least +108 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 48.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Detroit and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 53 of its 102 opportunities.
  • In 102 games with a line this season, the Tigers have a mark of 55-47-0 against the spread.

Tigers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.0
HR 9
ERA 4.35
K/9 7.3

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Angels Probable Pitcher – Shohei Ohtani

  • Ohtani’s team is 9-9-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander gave up five earned runs in 6 1/3 innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates.
  • In 18 starts this season, Ohtani has lasted five or more innings 18 times, with an average of 5.9 innings per appearance.
  • He has made 19 appearances and finished three of them without allowing an earned run.
  • Ohtani’s team has a record of 10-5 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Ohtani’s team has an 11-7 record in his starts this season.
  • In Ohtani’s 18 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over nine times.

Angels Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Carlos Estévez 40 41 51 1.98 2 23
Aaron Loup 32 28.2 28 4.71 6 1
Matt Moore 27 31 30 2.03 15 0
Jacob Webb 25 26.2 28 3.71 6 1
Rob Zastryzny 18 17 13 5.29 2 0

Tigers Probable Pitcher – Michael Lorenzen

  • Lorenzen (5-6) gets the starting nod for the Tigers in his 18th start of the season. He’s put together a 3.49 ERA in 100 2/3 innings pitched, with 76 strikeouts.
  • In his last time out on Thursday, the right-hander threw seven scoreless innings against the Kansas City Royals while surrendering three hits.
  • Lorenzen will look to last five or more innings for his 17th straight start. He’s averaging 5.9 innings per outing.
  • He will attempt for his fourth straight appearance without allowing an earned run.
  • The Tigers are 4-7 in Lorenzen’s 11 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Lorenzen’s team has an 8-9 record in his starts this season.
  • Lorenzen’s starts hit the over on the run total nine times in 17 games with a set total this season.

Tigers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jason Foley 43 44.1 39 2.03 18 4
Alex Lange 41 41.2 53 3.89 2 17
Chasen Shreve 41 37.1 39 4.82 11 0
José Cisnero 40 38.2 43 3.96 11 1
Tyler Holton 32 53 46 1.70 6 0

Angels Hitting Trends

  • The Angels are 29-14 this season in games when they crush at least two bombs.
  • Los Angeles has put up five or more extra-base hits in 24 games this season, and has gone 17-7 in those contests.
  • The team is 39-27 in the games this season it has strung together at least eight hits.
  • Los Angeles has a 41-16 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Angels have gone 19-11 in the 30 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Tigers Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 25 games this season and are 16-9 in those matchups.
  • Detroit has won 12 of its 16 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 43 of the 59 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Detroit has a 36-10 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have won 17 of their 26 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Angels vs. Tigers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Tigers (+108)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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