The New York Mets (47-54) and Washington Nationals (43-59) battle in NL East play, on Thursday at 7:10 PM ET.
The Nationals are an away underdog (+183) at the Mets (-222). The contest has an over/under of 9.
The insights in the following article reflect odds as of July 27, 2023 at 7:25 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mets vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -222 | +183 | 9 |
Mets Betting Insights
- This season, the Mets have been favored 67 times and won 37, or 55.2%, of those games.
- New York is 3-2 this season when entering a game favored by -222 or more on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 68.9% chance to win.
- New York’s games have gone over the total in 42 of its 102 chances.
- The Mets are 40-62-0 against the spread this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 4.09 |
| K/9 | 8.5 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have been victorious in 38, or 40.4%, of the 94 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This year, Washington has won 10 of 23 games when listed as at least +183 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 35.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Washington and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 50 of its 101 opportunities.
- The Nationals are 54-47-0 against the spread in their 101 games that had a posted line this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.5 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 6.31 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
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Mets Probable Pitcher – Kodai Senga
- When Senga starts, his team is 6-12-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Friday, when he tossed 3 1/3 innings while giving up two earned runs on three hits in a matchup with the Boston Red Sox.
- Senga has started 18 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 15 times. He averages 5.5 innings per appearance.
- In 18 appearances this season, he has finished three without allowing an earned run.
- Senga’s team is 10-6 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- In games Senga has started, his team is 10-8.
- Out of Senga’s 18 starts with a total this season, four have hit the over.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 44 | 41.1 | 39 | 3.48 | 11 | 6 |
| Brooks Raley | 42 | 35 | 38 | 2.57 | 19 | 1 |
| David Robertson | 40 | 44 | 48 | 2.05 | 7 | 15 |
| Drew Smith | 37 | 34.2 | 39 | 4.15 | 9 | 2 |
| Trevor Gott | 37 | 35.2 | 37 | 4.79 | 7 | 0 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Josiah Gray
- Gray (7-8) takes the mound first for the Nationals in his 21st start of the season. He’s put together a 3.45 ERA in 112 1/3 innings pitched, with 98 strikeouts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday against the San Francisco Giants, when he threw seven innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing four hits.
- Gray will look to last five or more innings for his 10th straight start. He’s averaging 5.6 frames per outing.
- In two of his appearances this season he did not surrender an earned run.
- The Nationals are 8-11 in Gray’s 19 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Over Gray’s 20 starts, his team is 9-11.
- Gray’s starts went over the run total 10 times in 20 games with a set total this season.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Finnegan | 39 | 42.2 | 41 | 3.16 | 7 | 14 |
| Mason Thompson | 38 | 45.2 | 39 | 3.94 | 9 | 1 |
| Jordan Weems | 21 | 26.2 | 26 | 3.37 | 1 | 0 |
| Andres Machado | 15 | 18 | 14 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Joe LaSorsa | 12 | 12 | 9 | 6.75 | 1 | 0 |
Mets Hitting Trends
- The Mets have racked up two or more round-trippers in 33 games this season, and are 18-15 in those contests.
- New York has gone 12-4 in its 16 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team is 36-20 in the games this season it has strung together at least eight hits.
- New York is 36-16 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Mets are 13-10 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They are 15-9 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 17 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 13-4.
- They have won 36 of the 70 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Washington has won 30 of its 42 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 19 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 9-10
Mets vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Mets (-222)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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