The Cleveland Guardians (51-51) and Chicago White Sox (41-62) battle in AL Central action, on Thursday at 8:10 PM ET.
Oddsmakers project the Guardians as a tight favorite (-111 moneyline odds) against the White Sox (-109). The game’s over/under is 8.
The betting trends in this article use the latest odds as of July 27, 2023 at 7:25 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Guardians vs White Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | -111 | -109 | 8 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- This season, the Guardians have won 31 out of the 55 games, or 56.4%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Cleveland has entered 52 games this season favored by -111 or more and is 30-22 in those contests.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 52.6% chance to win.
- Games involving Cleveland has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 45 of 102 chances this season.
- In 102 games with a spread this season, the Guardians are 52-50-0 ATS.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.9 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 3.44 |
| K/9 | 9.0 |
White Sox Betting Insights
- The White Sox have been victorious in 22, or 32.8%, of the 67 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This year, Chicago has won 22 of 67 games when listed as at least -109 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the White Sox have a 52.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Chicago’s games have gone over the total in 47 of its 103 opportunities.
- The White Sox have an against the spread record of 51-52-0 in 103 games with a line this season.
White Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 5.32 |
| K/9 | 9.9 |
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Guardians Probable Pitcher – Tanner Bibee
- When Bibee starts, his team is 11-4-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander did not allow a run in seven innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies.
- Bibee has pitched five or more innings in six straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- In 15 appearances this season, he has finished two without allowing an earned run.
- Bibee’s team has a record of 5-1 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Bibee’s team is 8-7 when he starts this season.
- In games Bibee has started this season, the teams are 6-9-0 at hitting the over.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 46 | 46.2 | 42 | 3.09 | 0 | 27 |
| Trevor Stephan | 44 | 43 | 45 | 3.35 | 13 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 44 | 43 | 37 | 2.51 | 9 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 39 | 42.1 | 44 | 2.34 | 7 | 1 |
| Nick Sandlin | 36 | 39.2 | 43 | 3.63 | 5 | 0 |
White Sox Probable Pitcher – Dylan Cease
- The White Sox are sending Cease (4-3) out for his 22nd start of the season. He is 4-3 with a 4.04 ERA and 138 strikeouts through 113 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his last appearance on Saturday against the Minnesota Twins, the righty threw six innings, allowing one earned run while surrendering three hits.
- Cease will look to pitch five or more innings for his 10th straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.4 innings per outing.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in one of his 21 outings this season.
- The White Sox are 4-5 in Cease’s nine starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Over Cease’s 21 starts, his team is 11-10.
- Cease has had 21 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in nine of those outings.
White Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Graveman | 44 | 44 | 42 | 3.48 | 8 | 8 |
| Gregory Santos | 41 | 48.2 | 48 | 2.59 | 5 | 1 |
| Reynaldo López | 40 | 42 | 52 | 4.29 | 10 | 4 |
| Aaron Bummer | 38 | 35.2 | 45 | 6.56 | 7 | 0 |
| Keynan Middleton | 37 | 35.1 | 46 | 3.82 | 5 | 2 |
Guardians Hitting Trends
- The Guardians have racked up two or more round-trippers in 20 games this season, and are 15-5 in those outings.
- Cleveland has racked up five or more extra-base hits in 20 games this season, and has gone 15-5 in those contests.
- The team has strung together at least eight hits in 65 games this season, and is 36-29 in those contests.
- Cleveland has a 31-8 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Guardians have drawn five or more walks in 23 games this season, and are 14-9 in those contests.
White Sox Hitting Trends
- They are 16-17 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Chicago has gone 13-7 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 62 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 33-29.
- Chicago has a 27-11 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 12 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 5-7
Guardians vs. White Sox Prediction
Moneyline Pick: White Sox (-109)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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