The Boston Red Sox (54-47) take a three-game win streak into a matchup versus the Atlanta Braves (64-35), at 7:10 PM ET on Wednesday.
The Braves are a favorite (-174) against the Red Sox (+147). The game’s over/under is set at 10.
The betting insights in the following article use the latest odds as of July 26, 2023 at 7:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Red Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -174 | +147 | 10 |
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves have entered the game as favorites 86 times this season and won 56, or 65.1%, of those games.
- Atlanta has a record of 28-13 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -174 on the moneyline.
- The Braves have a 63.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Atlanta’s games have gone over the total in 52 of its 99 chances.
- The Braves have an ATS record of 50-49-0 in 99 games with a spread this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.2 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 5.42 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have been underdogs in 54 games this season and have come away with the win 27 times (50%) in those contests.
- This season, Boston has been victorious three times in seven chances when named as an underdog of at least +147 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 40.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Boston and its opponents have gone over in 53 of its 101 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Red Sox have posted a record of 53-48-0 against the spread this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.0 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 4.03 |
| K/9 | 10.8 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Spencer Strider
- Strider’s team is 12-8-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander gave up four earned runs in six innings pitched on Thursday in his last outing, a matchup with the Arizona Diamondbacks.
- Strider has pitched five or more innings in seven straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has four appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 20 chances this season.
- Strider’s team has a record of 17-3 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Strider’s team has a 17-3 record in his starts this season.
- In Strider’s 20 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 14 times.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierce Johnson | 42 | 39 | 58 | 6.00 | 4 | 13 |
| Kirby Yates | 35 | 37.1 | 52 | 3.38 | 5 | 2 |
| Joe Jiménez | 35 | 35.2 | 44 | 2.78 | 8 | 0 |
| Raisel Iglesias | 31 | 29.2 | 37 | 3.94 | 0 | 18 |
| Collin McHugh | 29 | 40.2 | 29 | 3.54 | 7 | 0 |
Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Brayan Bello
- Bello (7-6 with a 3.60 ERA and 78 strikeouts in 90 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Red Sox, his 17th of the season.
- His most recent appearance was on Wednesday, July 19 against the Oakland Athletics, when the righty threw four innings, surrendering six earned runs while giving up five hits.
- Bello enters this matchup with 12 outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
- So far during the 2023 campaign he has allowed one or more earned runs in each of his appearances.
- The Red Sox have been the underdog on the moneyline in seven of Bello’s starts this season, and they went 5-2 in those games.
- Bello’s team has won 10 of his 16 starts.
- Bello’s starts went over the run total eight times in 16 games with a set total this season.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Martin | 34 | 31.1 | 29 | 1.44 | 15 | 1 |
| Josh Winckowski | 34 | 55.1 | 47 | 2.93 | 11 | 2 |
| Kenley Jansen | 33 | 32.1 | 38 | 3.06 | 0 | 21 |
| Brennan Bernardino | 23 | 34.1 | 38 | 2.36 | 1 | 0 |
| Richard Bleier | 20 | 23.2 | 14 | 4.94 | 2 | 0 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves have hit at least two round-trippers in 53 games this season, and are 39-14 in those outings.
- Atlanta has gone 24-3 in its 27 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has collected eight or more hits 69 times this season, and has a 48-21 record in those games.
- Atlanta is 50-11 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Braves have gone 17-11 in the 28 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- They are 23-9 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Boston has gone 24-9 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 45-28 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Boston has won 45 of its 55 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 23 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 13-10
Braves vs. Red Sox Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Red Sox (+147)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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