The Cleveland Guardians (50-51) host the Kansas City Royals (29-74) at 1:10 PM ET on Wednesday, with both teams hoping to win the series.
The Royals are an underdog away (+168) against the Guardians (-202). The matchup has an over/under set at 10 total runs.
The betting trends in what follows use the latest odds as of July 26, 2023 at 1:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Guardians vs Royals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | -202 | +168 | 10 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- This season, the Guardians have been favored 54 times and won 30, or 55.6%, of those games.
- Cleveland is 3-5 this season when entering a game favored by -202 or more on the moneyline.
- The Guardians have a 66.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Cleveland and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 44 of 101 opportunities.
- The Guardians are 51-50-0 against the spread this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 3.38 |
| K/9 | 9.2 |
Royals Betting Insights
- The Royals have come away with 26 wins in the 90 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This year, Kansas City has won 10 of 32 games when listed as at least +168 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 37.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Kansas City and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 46 of its 103 opportunities.
- In 103 games with a line this season, the Royals have a mark of 41-62-0 against the spread.
Royals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.0 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 4.92 |
| K/9 | 6.0 |
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Guardians Probable Pitcher – Gavin Williams
- Williams and his team have a record of 2-4-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Friday, when he tossed four innings while giving up one earned run on five hits in a matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies.
- Williams has five starts of five or more innings this season in six chances. He averages 5.5 innings per outing.
- He has one appearance with no earned runs allowed in six chances this season.
- Williams and his team have won each of the three games he’s started as the moneyline favorite.
- Williams’ team has a 4-2 record in his starts this season.
- Games Williams has started this season hit the over three times in six chances.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 46 | 46.2 | 42 | 3.09 | 0 | 27 |
| Trevor Stephan | 44 | 43 | 45 | 3.35 | 13 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 43 | 41.2 | 37 | 2.59 | 9 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 38 | 41.2 | 43 | 2.38 | 7 | 1 |
| Nick Sandlin | 35 | 38.2 | 42 | 3.49 | 5 | 0 |
Royals Probable Pitcher – Alec Marsh
- Marsh makes the start for the Royals, his fifth of the season. He is 0-4 with a 6.20 ERA and 24 strikeouts in 20 1/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander last appeared on Friday against the New York Yankees, when he threw 5 1/3 innings, allowing five earned runs while giving up five hits.
- Marsh will look to build on a four-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.0 frames per appearance).
- The Royals were the moneyline underdog for four Marsh starts this season — they lost every time.
- Marsh’s four starts have all been losses for his team this season.
- Marsh has started four contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in two of them.
Royals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Cuas | 40 | 40.1 | 51 | 4.24 | 3 | 0 |
| Taylor Clarke | 38 | 42 | 47 | 6.00 | 10 | 0 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 36 | 50 | 57 | 3.78 | 8 | 0 |
| Scott Barlow | 34 | 36.2 | 45 | 5.15 | 0 | 12 |
| Amir Garrett | 25 | 24.1 | 28 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
Guardians Hitting Trends
- The Guardians have hit two or more round-trippers in 19 games this season, and are 14-5 in those contests.
- Cleveland has put up at least five extra-base hits in 20 games this season, and has gone 15-5 in those outings.
- The club has collected at least eight hits 64 times this season, and has a 35-29 record in those games.
- Cleveland is 30-8 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Guardians have drawn five or more walks in 22 games this season, and are 13-9 in those contests.
Royals Hitting Trends
- They are 8-15 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 24 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 10-14.
- They have a record of 21-35 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Kansas City has won 19 of its 31 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 3-11 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Guardians vs. Royals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Guardians (-202)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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