Nationals vs. Rockies Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – July 26, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on July 26, 2023

The Washington Nationals (42-59) host the Colorado Rockies (40-61) at 12:05 PM ET on Wednesday, with both teams hoping to win the series.

The Rockies are an underdog (+127 moneyline odds) when they visit the Nationals (-151). The game’s over/under is 9.5.

The betting insights in the following article reference odds valid as of July 26, 2023 at 11:28 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Nationals vs Rockies Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Nationals -151 +127 9.5

Nationals Betting Insights

  • The Nationals have been favorites in six games this season and won three (50%) of those contests.
  • Washington has played as favorites of -151 or more once this season and lost that game.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Nationals, based on the moneyline, is 60.2%.
  • Games involving Washington has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 50 of 100 chances this season.
  • In 100 games with a spread this season, the Nationals are 54-46-0 ATS.

Nationals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.6
HR 14
ERA 6.91
K/9 7.6

Rockies Betting Insights

  • The Rockies have come away with 37 wins in the 90 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Colorado has a win-loss record of 26-46 when favored by +127 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rockies have a 44.1% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Colorado and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 42 of its 101 opportunities.
  • In 101 games with a line this season, the Rockies have a mark of 49-52-0 against the spread.

Rockies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.0
HR 19
ERA 3.56
K/9 7.0

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Nationals Probable Pitcher – Jake Irvin

  • Irvin’s team is 6-8-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Friday, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings while giving up three earned runs on five hits in a matchup with the San Francisco Giants.
  • Irvin has made eight starts of five or more innings in 14 chances this season, and averages 4.9 frames when he pitches.
  • In 14 appearances this season, he has finished one without allowing an earned run.
  • Irvin has yet to start a game this season when his team was the moneyline favorite.
  • Irvin’s team has won five of his 14 starts.
  • Games started by Irvin have an 8-6-0 record at hitting the over this season.

Nationals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Kyle Finnegan 39 42.2 41 3.16 7 14
Mason Thompson 38 45.2 39 3.94 9 1
Jordan Weems 20 25.1 25 3.55 1 0
Andres Machado 14 17 12 8.47 1 0
Joe LaSorsa 11 11.1 9 7.15 1 0

Rockies Probable Pitcher – Peter Lambert

  • The Rockies are sending Lambert (2-1) to the mound to make his fourth start of the season. He is 2-1 with a 5.49 ERA and 39 strikeouts through 39 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty last appeared on Friday against the Miami Marlins, when he tossed five scoreless innings while giving up three hits.
  • Lambert enters the matchup with one outing of five or more innings pitched this year.
  • He will attempt for his third straight appearance without surrendering an earned run.
  • The Rockies were the underdog on the moneyline for two Lambert starts this season — they split the games.
  • Lambert’s team is 1-2 over his three starts.
  • Lambert has three starts with a set total this season — his team has gone under each time.

Rockies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Justin Lawrence 43 52 53 2.94 8 7
Jake Bird 41 60 54 3.90 6 0
Brad Hand 38 34 39 4.76 3 0
Daniel Bard 34 35.2 32 2.02 4 1
Brent Suter 32 44.2 37 2.62 2 0

Nationals Hitting Trends

  • The Nationals are 15-9 this season in games when they crush two or more long balls.
  • Washington has gone 13-4 in its 17 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club has totaled eight or more hits in 70 games this season, and is 36-34 in those contests.
  • Washington is 29-12 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Nationals are 8-10 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Rockies Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 24 games this season and are 15-9 in those matchups.
  • Colorado has won 11 of its 22 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 31 of the 64 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • In 41 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 31-10.
  • They have won nine of their 13 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Nationals vs. Rockies Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Nationals (-151)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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