Nationals vs. Rockies Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – July 25, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on July 25, 2023

The Colorado Rockies (40-60) are looking for continued production from a hitter on a roll against the Washington Nationals (41-59) on Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET, at Nationals Park. C.J. Cron is currently on a two-game homer streak.

The Rockies are an underdog (+111 moneyline odds to win) when they visit the Nationals (-132). The game’s over/under is set at 9.5.

The betting trends in the following article are based off odds valid as of July 25, 2023 at 7:21 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Nationals vs Rockies Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Nationals -132 +111 9.5

Nationals Betting Insights

  • This season, the Nationals have been favored five times and won two of those games.
  • Washington has played as favorites of -132 or more twice this season and lost both games.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Nationals, based on the moneyline, is 56.9%.
  • Washington and its opponents have hit the over in 49 of its 99 games with a total this season.
  • The Nationals are 54-45-0 ATS in their 99 games with a spread this season.

Nationals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.7
HR 12
ERA 6.83
K/9 7.9

Rockies Betting Insights

  • The Rockies have come away with 37 wins in the 89 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Colorado has been victorious 30 times in 80 chances when named as an underdog of at least +111 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rockies have a 47.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Colorado’s games have gone over the total in 41 of its 100 opportunities.
  • The Rockies are 48-52-0 against the spread in their 100 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Rockies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 18
ERA 3.26
K/9 6.5

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Nationals Probable Pitcher – Trevor Williams

  • Williams’ team is 12-7-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Thursday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed seven hits in five innings against the Chicago Cubs.
  • In 20 starts, Williams has pitched through or past the fifth inning 15 times. He has a season average of 4.9 frames per outing.
  • He has made 20 appearances and finished three of them without allowing an earned run.
  • Williams has yet to start a game this season when his team was the moneyline favorite.
  • Williams’ team has a 10-10 record in his starts this season.
  • In Williams’ 19 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over seven times.

Nationals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Mason Thompson 38 45.2 39 3.94 9 1
Kyle Finnegan 38 41.2 40 3.24 7 13
Jordan Weems 20 25.1 25 3.55 1 0
Andres Machado 14 17 12 8.47 1 0
Joe LaSorsa 11 11.1 9 7.15 1 0

Rockies Probable Pitcher – Austin Gomber

  • The Rockies are sending Gomber (8-8) out to make his 21st start of the season. He is 8-8 with a 6.18 ERA and 68 strikeouts in 102 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The lefty last appeared on Wednesday against the Houston Astros, when he went six innings, allowing four earned runs while giving up eight hits.
  • Gomber will look to extend an eight-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.1 innings per appearance).
  • He has made one appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
  • The Rockies have been the moneyline underdog in 18 of Gomber’s starts this season, and they went 10-8 in those games.
  • Gomber’s team is 11-9 in his 20 starts.
  • Gomber has started 20 contests with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in eight of them.

Rockies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Justin Lawrence 42 51 52 2.47 8 7
Jake Bird 41 60 54 3.90 6 0
Brad Hand 37 33.2 39 4.54 2 0
Daniel Bard 34 35.2 32 2.02 4 1
Brent Suter 32 44.2 37 2.62 2 0

Nationals Hitting Trends

  • The Nationals have a 14-9 record in games this season when they smash at least two home runs.
  • Washington has gone 12-4 in its 16 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club has collected at least eight hits in 69 games this season, and is 35-34 in those contests.
  • Washington is 28-12 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Nationals have drawn five or more walks in 18 games this season, and are 8-10 in those contests.

Rockies Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 24 games this season and are 15-9 in those matchups.
  • Colorado has gone 11-11 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have won 31 of the 63 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Colorado has won 31 of its 40 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have a 9-4 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Nationals vs. Rockies Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Nationals (-132)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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