Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – July 24, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on July 24, 2023

The St. Louis Cardinals (44-56) hope to break their three-game losing run versus the Arizona Diamondbacks (54-46), at 9:40 PM ET on Monday.

The Cardinals (+142 underdog moneyline odds to win) are away versus the Diamondbacks (-169). The total for this game is 10.

The insights in the following article reflect odds as of July 24, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Diamondbacks -169 +142 10

Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • This season, the Diamondbacks have been favored 45 times and won 28, or 62.2%, of those games.
  • Arizona has a record of 11-1 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -169 on the moneyline.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 62.8% chance of a victory for the Diamondbacks.
  • Arizona’s games have gone over the total in 45 of its 100 chances.
  • In 100 games with a spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 56-44-0 ATS.

Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 13
ERA 6.83
K/9 6.8

Cardinals Betting Insights

  • The Cardinals have been victorious in 19, or 44.2%, of the 43 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • St. Louis has played as an underdog of +142 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
  • The Cardinals have an implied victory probability of 41.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • St. Louis’ games have gone over the total in 50 of its 99 opportunities.
  • The Cardinals have an against the spread mark of 47-52-0 in 99 games with a line this season.

Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.7
HR 14
ERA 4.45
K/9 7.8

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Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Ryne Nelson

  • Nelson and his team have a record of 12-8-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed seven innings while giving up two earned runs on three hits in a matchup with the Atlanta Braves.
  • Nelson will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
  • He has made 20 appearances and finished two of them without allowing an earned run.
  • Nelson’s team has a record of 3-4 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Nelson’s team has a 9-11 record in his starts this season.
  • Games Nelson has started this season hit the over eight times in 20 chances.

Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Miguel Castro 42 41 32 4.17 9 7
Scott McGough 41 48.2 60 3.88 12 7
Kyle Nelson 40 38 50 2.84 7 0
Andrew Chafin 38 33.1 46 2.97 11 8
José Ruiz 35 44.1 39 5.89 1 0

Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Adam Wainwright

  • The Cardinals will send Wainwright (3-4) out to make his 12th start of the season. He is 3-4 with a 7.66 ERA and 28 strikeouts through 51 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty last appeared on Tuesday, July 4 against the Miami Marlins, when he tossed 3 1/3 innings, allowing four earned runs while giving up seven hits.
  • Wainwright heads into this matchup with eight outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
  • He allowed one or more earned runs in each of his outings in 2023.
  • The Cardinals have been the moneyline underdog in seven of Wainwright’s starts this season, and they went 3-4 in those matchups.
  • Over Wainwright’s 11 starts, his team is 4-7.
  • Wainwright’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in six of 11 contests.

Cardinals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jordan Hicks 38 40.2 58 3.76 6 8
Chris Stratton 38 50.2 55 4.09 3 1
Giovanny Gallegos 37 40 39 4.05 13 8
Drew VerHagen 35 38.1 40 4.7 7 0
Andre Pallante 32 36.1 30 4.71 9 0

Diamondbacks Hitting Trends

  • The Diamondbacks have a 25-10 record this season in games when they hit at least two homers.
  • Arizona has gone 18-6 in its 24 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team has totaled at least eight hits in 74 games this season, and is 51-23 in those contests.
  • Arizona has a 51-14 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Diamondbacks have gone 19-18 over the 37 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Cardinals Hitting Trends

  • They have won 32 of the 49 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • St. Louis has won 26 of its 30 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 43 of the 69 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • In 51 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 39-12.
  • They have a 13-18 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Diamondbacks (-169)
Over/Under Pick: Over (10)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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