The Minnesota Twins (53-48) aim to extend their three-game win streak when they face the Seattle Mariners (50-49) on Monday at 7:40 PM ET, at Target Field.
The Twins (-113 moneyline odds to win) take the field against the Mariners (-106) in an expected close contest. The over/under for this game is set at 8.
The insights in the article below reference odds valid as of July 24, 2023 at 7:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Mariners Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -113 | -106 | 8 |
Twins Betting Insights
- This season, the Twins have won 40 out of the 63 games, or 63.5%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Minnesota has a record of 39-23 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -113 on the moneyline.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 53.1% chance of a victory for the Twins.
- Games involving Minnesota has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 46 of 101 chances this season.
- The Twins have an ATS record of 48-53-0 in 101 games with a spread this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.9 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 4.05 |
| K/9 | 10.2 |
Mariners Betting Insights
- The Mariners have won in 14, or 43.8%, of the 32 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This year, Seattle has won 13 of 29 games when listed as at least -106 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mariners have a 51.5% chance of walking away with the win.
- Seattle’s games have gone over the total in 49 of its 99 opportunities.
- The Mariners have posted a record of 45-54-0 against the spread this season.
Mariners Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.9 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 4.50 |
| K/9 | 11.1 |
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Kenta Maeda
- Maeda and his team are 5-4-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Thursday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed three hits in 6 1/3 innings against the Seattle Mariners.
- Maeda has started nine games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings six times. He averages 4.7 innings per appearance.
- He has made nine appearances and finished one of them without allowing an earned run.
- Maeda has started three games with his team as the moneyline favorite and won each of them.
- Maeda’s team has a 4-5 record in his starts this season.
- Out of Maeda’s nine starts with a total this season, five have hit the over.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 43 | 41.1 | 41 | 2.61 | 14 | 1 |
| Emilio Pagán | 38 | 43.1 | 41 | 3.32 | 2 | 0 |
| Jhoan Duran | 37 | 40.1 | 54 | 2.01 | 1 | 17 |
| Jovani Moran | 36 | 39.2 | 46 | 4.31 | 8 | 0 |
| Jorge López | 34 | 34.1 | 27 | 5.24 | 6 | 3 |
Mariners Probable Pitcher – Luis Castillo
- Castillo gets the start for the Mariners, his 21st of the season. He is 6-7 with a 3.04 ERA and 133 strikeouts in 118 1/3 innings pitched.
- The righty’s most recent time out was on Thursday against the Minnesota Twins, when he tossed six innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up six hits.
- Castillo will look to build upon a 21-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.9 innings per outing).
- He has had six appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Mariners are 1-2 in Castillo’s three starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Castillo’s team is 9-11 in his 20 starts.
- Castillo has had 20 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and 11 of those matchups hit the over.
Mariners Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Brash | 46 | 40.1 | 70 | 3.57 | 12 | 1 |
| Paul Sewald | 42 | 40.2 | 59 | 2.88 | 0 | 19 |
| Justin Topa | 41 | 38 | 36 | 2.84 | 14 | 2 |
| Gabe Speier | 40 | 31.2 | 31 | 4.26 | 9 | 0 |
| Tayler Saucedo | 29 | 29.1 | 29 | 2.45 | 0 | 0 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins have racked up at least two homers in 50 games this season, and are 41-9 in those contests.
- Minnesota has gone 30-3 in its 33 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has totaled eight or more hits 61 times this season, and has a 48-13 record in those games.
- Minnesota is 51-5 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Twins have drawn at least five walks in 34 games this season, and are 23-11 in those contests.
Mariners Hitting Trends
- They have won 24 of the 33 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 14 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 13-1.
- They have won 38 of the 58 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Seattle has won 44 of its 51 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 37 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 25-12
Twins vs. Mariners Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Twins (-113)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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