The San Diego Padres (48-52) and Pittsburgh Pirates (43-56) square off in the first of a three-game series on Monday at PETCO Park, at 9:40 PM ET. The Padres are coming off a series victory over the Tigers, and the Pirates a series loss to the Angels.
The favored Padres (-273 moneyline odds to win) play at home against the Pirates (+223). The game’s total is 8.5.
The betting facts in the article below reflect odds as of July 24, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Padres vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -273 | +223 | 8.5 |
Padres Betting Insights
- The Padres have been favorites in 74 games this season and won 39 (52.7%) of those contests.
- San Diego has played as favorites of -273 or more twice this season and split those games.
- The Padres have a 73.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Games involving San Diego has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 40 of 100 chances this season.
- The Padres are 48-52-0 against the spread this season.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.3 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 3.68 |
| K/9 | 9 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have been victorious in 31, or 39.7%, of the 78 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- Pittsburgh has played as an underdog of +223 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 31% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Pittsburgh’s games have gone over the total in 51 of its 99 opportunities.
- In 99 games with a line this season, the Pirates have a mark of 44-55-0 against the spread.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.4 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 5.66 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
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Padres Probable Pitcher – Yu Darvish
- Darvish and his team have a record of 8-9-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw six scoreless innings against the Toronto Blue Jays while allowing four hits.
- Darvish has seven starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has made 17 appearances and finished two of them without allowing an earned run.
- Darvish’s team has a record of 6-7 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Darvish’s team has won eight of his 17 starts this season.
- Games Darvish has started this season hit the over eight times in 17 chances.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hill | 42 | 41.2 | 25 | 3.89 | 9 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 39 | 37 | 55 | 0.97 | 0 | 24 |
| Steven Wilson | 38 | 41 | 43 | 2.63 | 18 | 0 |
| Nick Martínez | 36 | 70.2 | 60 | 3.95 | 13 | 1 |
| Luís Garcia | 36 | 34.2 | 35 | 5.45 | 9 | 0 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Quinn Priester
- The Pirates will look to Priester (0-1) to open the game and make his second start this season.
- His last appearance was on Monday, July 17 against the Cleveland Guardians, when the righty went 5 1/3 innings, surrendering seven earned runs while giving up seven hits.
- The Pirates were the underdog on the moneyline for one Priester start this season — they lost.
- His team has lost the only game he’s appeared in this season.
- Priester’s only start with a total this season went over.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dauri Moreta | 43 | 44 | 60 | 3.27 | 4 | 1 |
| David Bednar | 37 | 39 | 47 | 1.15 | 0 | 19 |
| Colin Holderman | 33 | 32 | 33 | 3.94 | 14 | 1 |
| Jose Hernandez | 27 | 29.2 | 33 | 3.34 | 4 | 0 |
| Angel Perdomo | 20 | 20.1 | 30 | 3.54 | 3 | 0 |
Padres Hitting Trends
- The Padres are 24-19 this season in games when they hit at least two long balls.
- San Diego has gone 19-8 in its 27 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has strung together at least eight hits in 54 games this season, and is 37-17 in those contests.
- San Diego has a 40-7 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Padres have drawn five or more walks in 44 games this season, and are 26-18 in those contests.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They are 18-7 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Pittsburgh has gone 16-3 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 30-14 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Pittsburgh has won 27 of its 34 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 13 of their 27 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Padres vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Padres (-273)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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