The Houston Astros (56-44) host the Texas Rangers (59-41) to start a three-game series at Minute Maid Park, with first pitch at 8:10 PM ET on Monday. The Astros are on the back of a series victory over the Athletics, and the Rangers a series loss to the Dodgers.
The Astros (-110 on the moneyline) and the Rangers (-109) will take the field in a projected tight contest. The contest has a set total of 8.5.
The betting insights in what follows use the latest odds as of July 24, 2023 at 7:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Astros vs Rangers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | -110 | -109 | 8.5 |
Astros Betting Insights
- The Astros have won 38, or 55.1%, of the 69 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Houston is 38-31 this season when entering a game favored by -110 or more on the moneyline.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 52.4% chance of a victory for the Astros.
- Houston’s games have gone over the total in 48 of its 100 chances.
- The Astros are 50-50-0 against the spread in their 100 chances this season.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 4.09 |
| K/9 | 9.0 |
Rangers Betting Insights
- The Rangers have been victorious in 19, or 57.6%, of the 33 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- Texas has a mark of 18-13 in contests where bookmakers favor it by -109 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Rangers have an implied victory probability of 52.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Texas and its opponents have gone over in 52 of its 100 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Rangers are 59-41-0 against the spread in their 100 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Rangers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 5.36 |
| K/9 | 7.5 |
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Astros Probable Pitcher – Brandon Bielak
- Bielak and his team have a record of 5-6-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander allowed one hit in 5 2/3 scoreless innings pitched against the Colorado Rockies on Wednesday.
- Bielak will look to finish five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
- He has two appearances with no earned runs allowed in 12 chances this season.
- Bielak’s team has won 66.7% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (4-2).
- In games Bielak has started, his team is 5-6.
- In games Bielak has started this season, the teams are 2-9-0 at hitting the over.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | 46 | 47.1 | 71 | 2.66 | 17 | 3 |
| Phil Maton | 46 | 48 | 52 | 2.44 | 8 | 1 |
| Héctor Neris | 43 | 42.2 | 49 | 1.48 | 20 | 2 |
| Ryan Pressly | 42 | 44.1 | 49 | 2.84 | 0 | 23 |
| Rafael Montero | 39 | 41.2 | 43 | 6.26 | 6 | 1 |
Rangers Probable Pitcher – Jon Gray
- Gray (6-5 with a 3.31 ERA and 83 strikeouts in 103 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Rangers, his 19th of the season.
- The right-hander last appeared on Wednesday against the Tampa Bay Rays, when he went 4 1/3 scoreless innings while giving up eight hits.
- Gray has put up 15 starts this year that he pitched five or more innings.
- He has had three appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Rangers have been the underdog on the moneyline in six of Gray’s starts this season, and they went 5-1 in those matchups.
- Over Gray’s 18 starts, his team is 10-8.
- Gray has had 18 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and eight of those outings hit the over.
Rangers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aroldis Chapman | 36 | 36.1 | 65 | 1.98 | 8 | 3 |
| Will Smith | 36 | 37 | 38 | 2.68 | 5 | 17 |
| Brock Burke | 32 | 40 | 30 | 2.70 | 9 | 0 |
| José Leclerc | 29 | 29.1 | 31 | 3.07 | 2 | 1 |
| Yerry Rodriguez | 10 | 10.2 | 11 | 5.06 | 0 | 0 |
Astros Hitting Trends
- The Astros have a 23-8 record in games this season when they hit two or more home runs.
- Houston has put up at least five extra-base hits in 20 games this season, and has gone 15-5 in those contests.
- The team is 53-14 in the games this season it has strung together eight or more hits.
- Houston is 48-8 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Astros are 22-7 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Rangers Hitting Trends
- They have won 34 of the 47 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Texas has won 22 of its 34 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 84 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 58-26.
- In 70 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 53-17.
- In 37 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 24-13
Astros vs. Rangers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Astros (-110)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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