The Kansas City Royals (28-73) hope to end their five-game losing run versus the Cleveland Guardians (49-50), at 7:10 PM ET on Monday.
The favored Guardians (-211 moneyline odds to win) take the field at home against the Royals (+177). The matchup has an over/under of 9 total runs.
The betting insights in this article reflect odds as of July 24, 2023 at 7:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Guardians vs Royals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | -211 | +177 | 9 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have won 29, or 55.8%, of the 52 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Cleveland has a record of 2-3 when favored by -211 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 67.8% chance to win.
- Games involving Cleveland has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 44 of 99 chances this season.
- The Guardians have an ATS record of 50-49-0 in 99 games with a spread this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.55 |
| K/9 | 9.6 |
Royals Betting Insights
- The Royals have won in 25, or 28.4%, of the 88 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Kansas City has come away with a win eight times in 27 chances when named as an underdog of at least +177 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 36.1% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Contests with Kansas City has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 46 of 101 chances this season.
- In 101 games with a line this season, the Royals have a mark of 40-61-0 against the spread.
Royals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 5.07 |
| K/9 | 7.8 |
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Guardians Probable Pitcher – Logan Allen
- Allen’s team is 10-3-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The left-hander did not allow a run in five innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates.
- In 13 starts, Allen has pitched through or past the fifth inning nine times. He has a season average of 5.2 frames per outing.
- If he manages to end his start without allowing an earned run, he’d extend his streak of appearances with no earned runs to four.
- Allen’s team has a record of 4-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Allen’s team is 10-3 when he starts this season.
- Games Allen has started this season hit the over six times in 13 chances.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 45 | 45.2 | 42 | 3.15 | 0 | 27 |
| Trevor Stephan | 44 | 43 | 45 | 3.35 | 13 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 43 | 41.2 | 37 | 2.59 | 9 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 38 | 41.2 | 43 | 2.38 | 7 | 1 |
| Nick Sandlin | 35 | 38.2 | 42 | 3.49 | 5 | 0 |
Royals Probable Pitcher – Ryan Yarbrough
- Yarbrough makes the start for the Royals, his sixth of the season. He is 2-5 with a 5.21 ERA and 23 strikeouts in 38 2/3 innings pitched.
- His last time out came on Thursday against the Detroit Tigers, when the lefty tossed 5 2/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing six hits.
- Yarbrough will try to build upon a four-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 3.2 frames per outing).
- In three of his appearances this season he did not give up an earned run.
- The Royals have been the moneyline underdog in five of Yarbrough’s starts this season, and they went 2-3 in those matchups.
- In Yarbrough’s five starts, his team is 2-3.
- Yarbrough has had five starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and one of those games finished over the total.
Royals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Cuas | 39 | 39.1 | 50 | 3.89 | 3 | 0 |
| Taylor Clarke | 38 | 42 | 47 | 6.00 | 10 | 0 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 35 | 49 | 57 | 3.86 | 7 | 0 |
| Scott Barlow | 33 | 35.2 | 45 | 5.30 | 0 | 11 |
| Amir Garrett | 25 | 24.1 | 28 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
Guardians Hitting Trends
- The Guardians are 13-5 this season in games when they crush two or more homers.
- Cleveland has gone 14-5 in its 19 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has collected at least eight hits in 62 games this season, and is 34-28 in those contests.
- Cleveland has a 29-8 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Guardians are 13-9 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Royals Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 22 games this season and are 7-15 in those matchups.
- Kansas City has gone 10-14 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 21 of the 56 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Kansas City has a 18-12 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 14 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 3-11
Guardians vs. Royals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Guardians (-211)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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