The Cincinnati Reds (55-46) take a five-game winning streak into a home matchup versus the Milwaukee Brewers (55-45), at 8:10 PM ET on Monday.
The Brewers (-117 on the moneyline) and the Reds (-102) will play in a projected tight contest. The game’s over/under is set at 9.
The betting trends in the following article reference odds valid as of July 24, 2023 at 7:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Brewers vs Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -117 | -102 | 9 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have entered the game as favorites 49 times this season and won 27, or 55.1%, of those games.
- This season Milwaukee has won 23 of its 39 games, or 59%, when favored by at least -117 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Brewers, based on the moneyline, is 53.9%.
- Milwaukee and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 42 of 100 opportunities.
- In 100 games with a spread this season, the Brewers are 50-50-0 ATS.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.1 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 2.22 |
| K/9 | 11.4 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have won in 36, or 49.3%, of the 73 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Cincinnati has come away with a win 29 times in 63 chances when named as an underdog of at least -102 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Reds have an implied victory probability of 50.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Contests with Cincinnati has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 55 of 101 chances this season.
- The Reds are 63-38-0 against the spread in their 101 games that had a posted line this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 3.46 |
| K/9 | 8.4 |
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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Colin Rea
- Rea’s team is 10-6-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed five innings while giving up two earned runs on five hits in a matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies.
- In 16 starts, Rea has pitched through or past the fifth inning 14 times. He has a season average of 5.0 frames per outing.
- He has two appearances with no earned runs allowed in 17 chances this season.
- Rea’s team has won 42.9% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (3-4).
- Rea’s team has a 10-6 record in his starts this season.
- Games started by Rea have a 7-8-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 44 | 39.2 | 37 | 2.27 | 10 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 42 | 46.1 | 54 | 1.75 | 19 | 3 |
| Devin Williams | 38 | 38.1 | 55 | 1.64 | 0 | 25 |
| Elvis Peguero | 37 | 40 | 34 | 3.38 | 14 | 1 |
| Bryse Wilson | 32 | 46.2 | 40 | 2.51 | 3 | 3 |
Reds Probable Pitcher – Graham Ashcraft
- Ashcraft gets the start for the Reds, his 19th of the season. He is 5-7 with a 5.77 ERA and 66 strikeouts in 93 2/3 innings pitched.
- His most recent time out was on Wednesday against the San Francisco Giants, when the righty threw six innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing five hits.
- Ashcraft is aiming for his fifth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 innings per start.
- In one of his appearances this season he did not allow an earned run.
- The Reds are 6-8 in Ashcraft’s 14 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Ashcraft’s team is 9-9 over his 18 starts.
- Ashcraft has had 18 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in 11 of those games.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Gibaut | 45 | 50 | 44 | 3.06 | 13 | 1 |
| Buck Farmer | 45 | 49.1 | 43 | 3.83 | 9 | 2 |
| Alex Young | 44 | 39 | 38 | 2.31 | 10 | 1 |
| Alexis Diaz | 44 | 44.2 | 67 | 2.01 | 1 | 29 |
| Lucas Sims | 40 | 40 | 48 | 3.15 | 15 | 2 |
Brewers Hitting Trends
- The Brewers are 35-7 this season in games when they hit at least two long balls.
- Milwaukee has collected five or more extra-base hits in nine games this season, and won each time.
- The team is 39-13 in the games this season it has strung together at least eight hits.
- Milwaukee is 46-7 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Brewers are 26-9 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Reds Hitting Trends
- They are 27-5 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Cincinnati has gone 23-6 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 50-20 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Cincinnati has a 54-10 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won 17 of their 37 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Brewers vs. Reds Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Brewers (-117)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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