Astros vs. Athletics Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – July 23, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on July 23, 2023

The Houston Astros (55-44) are looking for another big outing from a hitter on a hot streak versus the Oakland Athletics (28-73) on Sunday at 4:07 PM ET, at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum. Alex Bregman is currently on a three-game homer streak.

The Athletics are a big underdog (+193 moneyline odds to win) when they take the field at home against the Astros (-236). The matchup has an over/under of 8.5 total runs.

The betting trends in what follows use the latest odds as of July 23, 2023 at 3:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Astros vs Athletics Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Astros -236 +193 8.5

Astros Betting Insights

  • The Astros have won 37, or 54.4%, of the 68 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Houston has a record of 10-2, a 83.3% win rate, when favored by -236 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Astros have a 70.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Games involving Houston has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 48 of 99 chances this season.
  • In 99 games with a spread this season, the Astros are 50-49-0 ATS.

Astros Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.9
HR 16
ERA 4.09
K/9 9.4

Athletics Betting Insights

  • The Athletics have been victorious in 28, or 28%, of the 100 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Oakland has won seven of 38 games when listed as at least +193 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Athletics have a 34.1% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Oakland and its opponents have hit the over in 53 of its 101 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Athletics have an against the spread mark of 48-53-0 in 101 games with a line this season.

Athletics Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.6
HR 11
ERA 4.55
K/9 8.8

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Astros Probable Pitcher – Hunter Brown

  • When Brown starts, his team is 6-12-0 against the spread this season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed 5 1/3 innings while giving up four earned runs on six hits in a matchup with the Colorado Rockies.
  • In 18 starts, Brown has pitched through or past the fifth inning 11 times. He has a season average of 5.5 frames per outing.
  • In 18 appearances this season, he has finished four without allowing an earned run.
  • Brown’s team has won 46.2% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (6-7).
  • Brown’s team has won nine of his 18 starts this season.
  • In Brown’s 18 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over eight times.

Astros Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Phil Maton 46 48 52 2.44 8 1
Bryan Abreu 45 46.1 69 2.72 17 2
Ryan Pressly 42 44.1 49 2.84 0 23
Héctor Neris 42 41.2 49 1.51 20 2
Rafael Montero 39 41.2 43 6.26 6 1

Athletics Probable Pitcher – Luis Medina

  • The Athletics will send Medina (3-7) to the mound to make his 10th start of the season. He is 3-7 with a 5.79 ERA and 64 strikeouts in 65 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday against the Boston Red Sox, when he went 5 2/3 scoreless innings while allowing three hits.
  • Medina is aiming for his fifth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages five innings per start.
  • He has had one outing this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Athletics have a 2-7 record in Medina’s nine starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Medina’s team is 2-7 in his nine starts.
  • Medina’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in five of nine contests.

Athletics Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Sam Moll 38 35.1 44 4.58 6 1
Trevor May 29 26.2 23 4.72 1 9
Sam Long 28 36 26 4 4 2
Lucas Erceg 24 29 43 5.28 4 0
Austin Pruitt 20 36.1 21 3.96 2 0

Astros Hitting Trends

  • The Astros have a 22-8 record this season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
  • Houston has gone 15-5 in its 20 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team has racked up eight or more hits 67 times this season, and has a 53-14 record in those games.
  • Houston is 48-8 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Astros are 21-7 in the 28 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Athletics Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 29 games this season and are 18-11 in those matchups.
  • In 17 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 14-3.
  • They have a record of 19-25 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • In 34 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 22-12.
  • In 28 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 16-12

Astros vs. Athletics Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Astros (-236)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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