The San Diego Padres (48-51) aim to add to their three-game win streak when they take on the Detroit Tigers (44-54) on Sunday at 12:05 PM ET, at Comerica Park.
The Tigers are a heavy underdog (+187 on the moneyline to win) when they take the field at home against the Padres (-224). The contest has a set total of 8.5.
The insights in what follows are based off odds valid as of July 23, 2023 at 11:14 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Padres vs Tigers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -224 | +187 | 8.5 |
Padres Betting Insights
- This season, the Padres have been favored 73 times and won 39, or 53.4%, of those games.
- San Diego has entered five games this season favored by -224 or more and is 4-1 in those contests.
- The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 69.1%.
- San Diego’s games have gone over the total in 40 of its 99 chances.
- The Padres have an ATS record of 48-51-0 in 99 games with a spread this season.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.8 |
| HR | 19 |
| ERA | 3.54 |
| K/9 | 9.0 |
Tigers Betting Insights
- The Tigers have won in 35, or 42.7%, of the 82 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Detroit has been victorious seven times in 16 chances when named as an underdog of at least +187 or worse on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Tigers have a 34.8% chance of pulling out a win.
- Detroit and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 52 of its 99 opportunities.
- The Tigers are 53-46-0 against the spread in their 99 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Tigers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.0 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 4.25 |
| K/9 | 8.1 |
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Padres Probable Pitcher – Joe Musgrove
- Musgrove and his team have a record of 9-6-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed five hits in six innings pitched against the Toronto Blue Jays on Tuesday.
- Musgrove will look to finish five or more innings for the 14th start in a row.
- He has three appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 15 chances this season.
- Musgrove’s team is 10-3 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Musgrove’s team has a 10-5 record in his starts this season.
- Games Musgrove has started this season hit the over six times in 15 chances.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hill | 42 | 41.2 | 25 | 3.89 | 9 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 39 | 37 | 55 | 0.97 | 0 | 24 |
| Steven Wilson | 37 | 40 | 42 | 2.70 | 18 | 0 |
| Nick Martínez | 36 | 70.2 | 60 | 3.95 | 13 | 1 |
| Luís Garcia | 36 | 34.2 | 35 | 5.45 | 9 | 0 |
Tigers Probable Pitcher – Alex Faedo
- Faedo (1-4 with a 6.98 ERA and 28 strikeouts in 29 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Tigers, his seventh of the season.
- In his last appearance on Friday, July 7, the right-hander tossed 3 2/3 innings against the Toronto Blue Jays, allowing seven earned runs while surrendering six hits.
- Faedo has put together three starts this year that he pitched five or more innings.
- He has not made an outing yet in 2023 that he did not surrender at least one earned run.
- The Tigers have been the moneyline underdog in six of Faedo’s starts this season, and they went 1-5 in those matchups.
- Faedo’s team has compiled a 1-5 record over his six starts.
- Faedo’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in four of six contests.
Tigers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Foley | 41 | 42.1 | 37 | 2.13 | 17 | 4 |
| Chasen Shreve | 40 | 36.1 | 38 | 4.46 | 11 | 0 |
| Alex Lange | 39 | 39.2 | 51 | 4.08 | 2 | 16 |
| José Cisnero | 39 | 37 | 41 | 3.89 | 10 | 1 |
| Tyler Holton | 31 | 51.2 | 44 | 1.74 | 5 | 0 |
Padres Hitting Trends
- The Padres have hit at least two home runs in 43 games this season, and are 24-19 in those contests.
- San Diego has gone 19-8 in its 27 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has collected eight or more hits in 54 games this season, and is 37-17 in those contests.
- San Diego is 40-7 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Padres have drawn at least five walks in 43 games this season, and are 26-17 in those contests.
Tigers Hitting Trends
- They are 15-9 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 16 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 12-4.
- In 56 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 41-15.
- Detroit has a 35-9 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 17-9 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Padres vs. Tigers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Padres (-224)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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