The Baltimore Orioles (60-38) visit the Tampa Bay Rays (61-41) at 1:40 PM ET on Sunday.
The Orioles are an underdog (+128 on the moneyline to win) when they square off against the Rays (-151). The game’s total is set at 8.5.
The insights in the article below are based off odds valid as of July 23, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rays vs Orioles Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | -151 | +128 | 8.5 |
Rays Betting Insights
- The Rays have entered the game as favorites 85 times this season and won 55, or 64.7%, of those games.
- This season Tampa Bay has won 39 of its 53 games, or 73.6%, when favored by at least -151 on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rays have a 60.2% chance to win.
- So far this season, Tampa Bay and its opponents have hit the over in 53 of 102 games with a total.
- In 102 games with a spread this season, the Rays are 56-46-0 ATS.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.72 |
| K/9 | 10.0 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles have been victorious in 28, or 53.8%, of the 52 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This year, Baltimore has won eight of 14 games when listed as at least +128 or worse on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Orioles have a 43.9% chance of pulling out a win.
- Baltimore’s games have gone over the total in 51 of its 98 opportunities.
- The Orioles are 59-39-0 against the spread in their 98 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.6 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 4.40 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
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Rays Probable Pitcher – Taj Bradley
- When Bradley starts, his team is 6-8-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw five innings against the Texas Rangers, giving up two earned runs while allowing five hits.
- Bradley has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- In 14 appearances this season, he has finished two without allowing an earned run.
- When Bradley starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 6-4.
- Bradley’s team has won six of his 14 starts this season.
- Out of Bradley’s 14 starts with a total this season, eight have hit the over.
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Adam | 40 | 40.1 | 50 | 2.68 | 9 | 10 |
| Jake Diekman | 39 | 32 | 39 | 4.22 | 7 | 0 |
| Colin Poche | 39 | 36 | 31 | 2.00 | 13 | 1 |
| Kevin Kelly | 36 | 43.2 | 35 | 3.09 | 9 | 2 |
| Robert Stephenson | 35 | 30.1 | 41 | 4.15 | 8 | 0 |
Orioles Probable Pitcher – Tyler Wells
- The Orioles will send Wells (7-5) to the mound for his 19th start of the season. He is 7-5 with a 3.54 ERA and 105 strikeouts over 106 2/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday against the Los Angeles Dodgers, when he threw two innings, allowing five earned runs while giving up six hits.
- Wells is looking to collect his 19th start of five or more innings this season in this game.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in three of his 19 outings this season.
- The Orioles are 2-3 in Wells’ five starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Wells’ team has won 10 of his 18 starts.
- Wells has had 18 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in eight of those matchups.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Baumann | 42 | 46.1 | 50 | 3.69 | 6 | 0 |
| Felix Bautista | 42 | 48 | 93 | 0.94 | 0 | 27 |
| Bryan Baker | 42 | 40 | 48 | 3.83 | 11 | 0 |
| Yeinier Cano | 41 | 47.2 | 41 | 1.51 | 23 | 4 |
| Danny Coulombe | 40 | 34 | 41 | 2.91 | 17 | 1 |
Rays Hitting Trends
- The Rays have a 35-12 record in games this season when they belt two or more home runs.
- Tampa Bay has put up five or more extra-base hits in 27 games this season, and has gone 25-2 in those outings.
- The club has strung together eight or more hits in 71 games this season, and is 46-25 in those contests.
- Tampa Bay is 45-18 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Rays are 19-5 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Orioles Hitting Trends
- They have won 27 of the 38 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Baltimore has won 25 of its 28 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 42 of the 61 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 55 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 46-9.
- In 26 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 21-5
Rays vs. Orioles Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rays (-151)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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