Mariners vs. Blue Jays Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – July 23, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on July 23, 2023

The Seattle Mariners (50-48) have a 2-0 series lead, hoping to sweep the Toronto Blue Jays (54-45) on Sunday at T-Mobile Park, at 4:10 PM ET.

The Mariners are favored (-142 moneyline odds to win) when they host the Blue Jays (+119). The contest has an over/under of 8.5.

The betting insights in the article below reflect odds as of July 23, 2023 at 3:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Mariners vs Blue Jays Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Mariners -142 +119 8.5

Mariners Betting Insights

  • The Mariners have entered the game as favorites 66 times this season and won 36, or 54.5%, of those games.
  • This season Seattle has won 22 of its 39 games, or 56.4%, when favored by at least -142 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.7% chance of a victory for the Mariners.
  • So far this season, Seattle and its opponents have hit the over in 49 of 98 games with a total.
  • The Mariners are 45-53-0 ATS in their 98 games with a spread this season.

Mariners Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.9
HR 12
ERA 4.20
K/9 11.2

Blue Jays Betting Insights

  • The Blue Jays have been underdogs in 27 games this season and have come away with the win 13 times (48.1%) in those contests.
  • Toronto has a mark of 3-4 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +119 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Blue Jays have a 45.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Toronto and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 43 of its 99 opportunities.
  • In 99 games with a line this season, the Blue Jays have a mark of 44-55-0 against the spread.

Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.8
HR 10
ERA 3.68
K/9 9.3

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Mariners Probable Pitcher – Bryan Woo

  • Woo’s team is 4-4-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw 3 1/3 innings against the Minnesota Twins, giving up six earned runs while allowing eight hits.
  • In eight starts this season, Woo has lasted five or more innings five times, with an average of 4.8 innings per appearance.
  • He has made eight appearances and finished one of them without allowing an earned run.
  • When Woo starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 1-2.
  • Woo’s team has won four of his eight starts.
  • In games Woo has started this season, the teams are 5-3-0 at hitting the over.

Mariners Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Matt Brash 46 40.1 70 3.57 12 1
Paul Sewald 41 39.2 58 2.95 0 19
Justin Topa 41 38 36 2.84 14 2
Gabe Speier 40 31.2 31 4.26 9 0
Tayler Saucedo 28 28.1 29 2.54 0 0

Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Alek Manoah

  • Manoah (2-8 with a 6.18 ERA and 56 strikeouts in 67 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Blue Jays, his 16th of the season.
  • The righty last pitched on Tuesday against the San Diego Padres, when he threw three innings, allowing four earned runs while giving up three hits.
  • Manoah is looking to collect his seventh start of five or more innings this season in this matchup.
  • In two of his appearances this season he has not allow an earned run.
  • The Blue Jays were the moneyline underdog for five Manoah starts this season — they lost all of the games.
  • In Manoah’s 15 starts, his team is 5-10.
  • Manoah has had 15 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and 11 of those games hit the over.

Blue Jays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Erik Swanson 45 46 51 2.93 24 2
Yimi Garcia 44 41.1 48 4.57 10 2
Tim Mayza 44 32.2 33 1.1 13 1
Jordan Romano 40 39.1 48 2.97 1 26
Trevor Richards 30 49.1 75 3.1 6 0

Mariners Hitting Trends

  • The Mariners have hit at least two home runs in 33 games this season, and are 24-9 in those contests.
  • Seattle has put up five or more extra-base hits in 14 games this season, and has gone 13-1 in those outings.
  • The team is 38-20 in the games this season it has collected at least eight hits.
  • Seattle is 44-7 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Mariners are 25-11 in the 36 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Blue Jays Hitting Trends

  • They are 21-11 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • In 18 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 14-4.
  • In 76 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 49-27.
  • Toronto has a 39-12 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have won 16 of their 24 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Mariners vs. Blue Jays Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Mariners (-142)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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