Cardinals vs. Cubs Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – July 23, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on July 23, 2023

The St. Louis Cardinals (44-55) and Chicago Cubs (47-51) do battle on Sunday at 2:20 PM ET.

As the favorite, the Cardinals (-124 on the moneyline) play at the Cubs (+105). The total for this game is 9.

The betting facts in the article below reflect odds as of July 23, 2023 at 1:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Cardinals vs Cubs Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Cardinals -124 +105 9

Cardinals Betting Insights

  • The Cardinals have won 25, or 46.3%, of the 54 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • This season St. Louis has won 19 of its 43 games, or 44.2%, when favored by at least -124 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 55.4% chance of a victory for the Cardinals.
  • Games involving St. Louis has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 50 of 98 chances this season.
  • The Cardinals are 47-51-0 ATS in their 98 games with a spread this season.

Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.9
HR 15
ERA 3.86
K/9 8.5

Cubs Betting Insights

  • The Cubs have been victorious in 19, or 39.6%, of the 48 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Chicago has a win-loss record of 14-20 when favored by +105 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 48.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Chicago and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 51 of its 98 opportunities.
  • The Cubs have an against the spread record of 47-51-0 in 98 games with a line this season.

Cubs Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 7.0
HR 13
ERA 5.40
K/9 8.8

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Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Jordan Montgomery

  • Montgomery and his team have a record of 8-11-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed six hits in six innings against the Miami Marlins.
  • In 19 starts, Montgomery has pitched through or past the fifth inning 16 times. He has a season average of 5.7 frames per outing.
  • He has four appearances with no earned runs allowed in 19 chances this season.
  • Montgomery’s team has won 40% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (6-9).
  • Montgomery’s team has won seven of his 19 starts.
  • Out of Montgomery’s 19 starts with a total this season, nine have hit the over.

Cardinals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jordan Hicks 38 40.2 58 3.76 6 8
Chris Stratton 38 50.2 55 4.09 3 1
Giovanny Gallegos 37 40 39 4.05 13 8
Drew VerHagen 35 38.1 40 4.70 7 0
Andre Pallante 32 36.1 30 4.71 9 0

Cubs Probable Pitcher – Jameson Taillon

  • Taillon (3-6) gets the starting nod for the Cubs in his 17th start of the season. He has a 6.05 ERA in 77 1/3 innings pitched, with 67 strikeouts.
  • In his last appearance on Wednesday against the Washington Nationals, the right-hander threw 5 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
  • Taillon will aim to last five or more innings for his ninth straight appearance. He’s averaging 4.8 innings per outing.
  • He has had two appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Cubs have been the underdog on the moneyline in eight of Taillon’s starts this season, and they went 2-6 in those games.
  • Taillon’s team has a 4-12 record in his starts this season.
  • Taillon has had 16 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in nine of those outings.

Cubs Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Julian Merryweather 42 42.2 58 4.01 7 0
Michael Fulmer 40 44.2 48 4.43 8 1
Mark Leiter Jr. 39 41 53 3.29 16 3
Adbert Alzolay 35 43 48 2.51 7 9
Michael Rucker 30 38 38 5.21 0 0

Cardinals Hitting Trends

  • The Cardinals have hit at least two homers in 49 games this season, and are 32-17 in those contests.
  • St. Louis has gone 26-4 in its 30 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team has strung together eight or more hits in 68 games this season, and is 43-25 in those contests.
  • St. Louis is 39-12 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Cardinals are 13-18 over the 31 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Cubs Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 38 games this season and are 22-16 in those matchups.
  • Chicago has gone 15-2 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have won 45 of the 65 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Chicago has a 36-13 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • In 34 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 19-15

Cardinals vs. Cubs Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Cubs (+105)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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