Marlins vs. Rockies Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – July 23, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on July 23, 2023

The Colorado Rockies (39-59) will look to sweep a three-game series versus the Miami Marlins (53-47), at 1:40 PM ET on Sunday.

The Marlins are heavily favored (-282 on the moneyline to win) when they host the Rockies (+232). The game’s total is set at 7.5.

The betting insights in the article below reflect odds as of July 23, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Marlins vs Rockies Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Marlins -282 +232 7.5

Marlins Betting Insights

  • The Marlins have entered the game as favorites 49 times this season and won 30, or 61.2%, of those games.
  • Miami has not entered a game this season as bigger favorites on the moneyline than the -282 odds on them winning this game.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 73.8% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
  • Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 47 of its 100 games with a total this season.
  • The Marlins are 46-54-0 ATS in their 100 games with a spread this season.

Marlins Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 3.7
HR 8
ERA 4.66
K/9 9.7

Rockies Betting Insights

  • The Rockies have been victorious in 36, or 41.4%, of the 87 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Colorado has been a moneyline underdog of -282 or longer five times, losing every contest.
  • The Rockies have an implied victory probability of 30.1% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • Colorado and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 40 of its 98 opportunities.
  • The Rockies have an against the spread record of 46-52-0 in 98 games with a line this season.

Rockies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 18
ERA 3.20
K/9 6.0

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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Jesus Luzardo

  • When Luzardo starts, his team is 12-8-0 against the spread this season.
  • The left-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed five hits in four innings pitched against the St. Louis Cardinals on Monday.
  • Luzardo has made 16 starts of five or more innings in 20 chances this season, and averages 5.7 frames when he pitches.
  • He has four appearances with no earned runs allowed in 20 chances this season.
  • Luzardo’s team has a record of 6-3 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Luzardo’s team has won 13 of his 20 starts this season.
  • In games Luzardo has started this season, the teams are 10-8-2 at hitting the over.

Marlins Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Tanner Scott 41 47 71 2.87 18 2
Dylan Floro 39 38 39 4.74 9 7
Huascar Brazoban 38 48.1 49 3.72 12 0
Steven Okert 35 35 48 3.34 10 0
A.J. Puk 32 31.2 39 4.55 0 15

Rockies Probable Pitcher – Ty Blach

  • Blach makes his first start of the season for the Rockies.
  • The 32-year-old southpaw has appeared in relief seven times this season.
  • Blach’s team was the moneyline underdog only one time in a game he pitched a season ago, and won.
  • His team won the only game he appeared in last season.
  • He pitched in only one game with a set total last season, and the teams combined to hit the over.

Rockies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Pierce Johnson 41 38.2 57 6.05 4 13
Justin Lawrence 41 50 51 2.52 8 7
Jake Bird 41 58 54 4.03 6 0
Brad Hand 35 31.2 37 4.83 2 0
Daniel Bard 34 35.2 32 2.02 4 1

Marlins Hitting Trends

  • The Marlins have racked up two or more home runs in 31 games this season, and are 12-19 in those contests.
  • Miami is 16-1 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team is 44-37 in the games this season it has strung together eight or more hits.
  • Miami is 36-11 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Marlins have drawn five or more walks in 23 games this season, and are 12-11 in those contests.

Rockies Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 23 games this season and are 15-8 in those matchups.
  • In 22 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 11-11.
  • In 62 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 30-32.
  • Colorado has a 30-9 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have a 8-4 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Marlins vs. Rockies Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Marlins (-282)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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