The San Diego Padres (47-51) take on the Detroit Tigers (44-53) a game after Juan Soto hit a pair of home runs in a 5-4 victory over the Tigers. The game begins at 6:10 PM ET on Saturday.
The Padres are the road favorite (-136) versus the Tigers (+115). The matchup has an over/under of 9.5 total runs.
The betting trends in this article reference odds valid as of July 22, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Padres vs Tigers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -136 | +115 | 9.5 |
Padres Betting Insights
- The Padres have won 38, or 52.8%, of the 72 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- San Diego has a record of 30-21 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -136 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 57.6%.
- So far this season, San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 39 of 98 games with a total.
- The Padres are 47-51-0 against the spread in their 98 chances this season.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 3.34 |
| K/9 | 10.1 |
Tigers Betting Insights
- The Tigers have been chosen as underdogs in 81 games this year and have walked away with the win 35 times (43.2%) in those games.
- This year, Detroit has won 28 of 64 games when listed as at least +115 or worse on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Tigers have a 46.5% chance of pulling out a win.
- Detroit and its opponents have hit the over in 51 of its 98 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Tigers are 53-45-0 against the spread in their 98 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Tigers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.9 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 2.83 |
| K/9 | 8.1 |
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Padres Probable Pitcher – Jackson Wolf
- The left-hander will make his MLB debut at the age of 24.
- Wolf did not appear in a game when his team was the moneyline favorite last season.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hill | 41 | 40.2 | 25 | 3.98 | 9 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 39 | 37 | 55 | 0.97 | 0 | 24 |
| Steven Wilson | 37 | 40 | 42 | 2.70 | 18 | 0 |
| Nick Martínez | 36 | 70.2 | 60 | 3.95 | 13 | 1 |
| Luís Garcia | 35 | 33.2 | 33 | 5.61 | 9 | 0 |
Tigers Probable Pitcher – Matt Manning
- The Tigers will send Manning (3-1) out for his seventh start of the season. He is 3-1 with a 3.37 ERA and 23 strikeouts through 34 2/3 innings pitched.
- His last appearance was on Tuesday against the Kansas City Royals, when the right-hander tossed 5 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up four hits.
- Manning will try to pitch five or more innings for his seventh straight start. He’s averaging 5.7 innings per outing.
- In one of his appearances this season he has not give up an earned run.
- The Tigers have a 3-2 record in Manning’s five starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Manning’s team has won four of his six starts.
- Manning has had six starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and four of those games hit the over.
Tigers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Foley | 41 | 42.1 | 37 | 2.13 | 17 | 4 |
| Alex Lange | 39 | 39.2 | 51 | 4.08 | 2 | 16 |
| Chasen Shreve | 39 | 35.1 | 35 | 4.33 | 11 | 0 |
| José Cisnero | 38 | 36 | 40 | 3.25 | 10 | 1 |
| Tyler Holton | 31 | 51.2 | 44 | 1.74 | 5 | 0 |
Padres Hitting Trends
- The Padres are 22-19 this season in games when they hit two or more long balls.
- San Diego has collected five or more extra-base hits in 25 games this season, and has gone 17-8 in those contests.
- The team has totaled at least eight hits 52 times this season, and has a 35-17 record in those games.
- San Diego is 38-7 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Padres have drawn at least five walks in 41 games this season, and are 24-17 in those contests.
Tigers Hitting Trends
- They have won 15 of the 24 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Detroit has gone 12-4 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 55 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 41-14.
- Detroit has a 35-9 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 26 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 17-9
Padres vs. Tigers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Padres (-136)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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