The Atlanta Braves (63-33) are looking for continued production from a batter on a hot streak against the Milwaukee Brewers (54-44) on Saturday at 7:15 PM ET, at American Family Field. Austin Riley is on a four-game homer streak.
The Braves are a favorite (-143) at the Brewers (+121). The over/under for this game is set at 9.5.
The insights in the following article use the latest odds as of July 22, 2023 at 7:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Brewers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -143 | +121 | 9.5 |
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves have won 55, or 66.3%, of the 83 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Atlanta has a record of 45-18 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -143 on the moneyline.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 58.8% chance of a victory for the Braves.
- Atlanta’s games have gone over the total in 52 of its 96 chances.
- The Braves are 49-47-0 ATS in their 96 games with a spread this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.6 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 5.26 |
| K/9 | 9.4 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have been victorious in 27, or 55.1%, of the 49 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Milwaukee has been victorious 11 times in 24 chances when named as an underdog of at least +121 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Brewers have a 45.2% chance of walking away with the win.
- Milwaukee’s games have gone over the total in 42 of its 98 opportunities.
- The Brewers are 49-49-0 against the spread in their 98 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 2.63 |
| K/9 | 11.4 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Allan Winans
- The 27-year-old right-hander will make his MLB debut.
- Winans did not appear in a game when his team was the moneyline favorite last season.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirby Yates | 35 | 37.1 | 52 | 3.38 | 5 | 2 |
| Joe Jiménez | 33 | 33.2 | 40 | 2.94 | 8 | 0 |
| Raisel Iglesias | 30 | 28.2 | 34 | 4.08 | 0 | 17 |
| Collin McHugh | 28 | 39.2 | 29 | 3.63 | 7 | 0 |
| Michael Tonkin | 22 | 48.2 | 40 | 3.14 | 1 | 1 |
Brewers Probable Pitcher – Adrian Houser
- Houser gets the start for the Brewers, his 11th of the season. He is 3-2 with a 3.79 ERA and 39 strikeouts over 57 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his last time out on Sunday against the Cincinnati Reds, the righty went 5 2/3 innings, allowing three earned runs while surrendering six hits.
- Houser is aiming for his fourth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.8 frames per start.
- In three of his 12 total appearances this season he has not given up an earned run.
- The Brewers are 5-3 in Houser’s eight starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Houser’s team has a 6-4 record over his 10 starts.
- Houser has started 10 contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in one of them.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 43 | 39 | 36 | 2.31 | 9 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 41 | 45.1 | 53 | 1.79 | 19 | 3 |
| Devin Williams | 37 | 37.1 | 52 | 1.69 | 0 | 24 |
| Elvis Peguero | 35 | 38 | 34 | 2.84 | 14 | 1 |
| Bryse Wilson | 32 | 46.2 | 40 | 2.51 | 3 | 3 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves have a 38-14 record this season in games when they hit at least two homers.
- Atlanta has gone 24-3 in its 27 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has put up eight or more hits in 68 games this season, and is 48-20 in those contests.
- Atlanta has a 50-11 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Braves are 17-10 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Brewers Hitting Trends
- They have won 35 of the 42 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Milwaukee is undefeated in nine games this season with five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 38-13 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 53 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 46-7.
- In 35 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 26-9
Braves vs. Brewers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-143)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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