Marlins vs. Rockies Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – July 22, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on July 22, 2023

The Miami Marlins hope to break their seven-game losing run versus the Colorado Rockies (38-59), on Saturday at 1:10 PM ET.

The Rockies are an underdog away (+139) against the Marlins (-166). The total for this game is set at 8.5.

The insights in what follows are based off odds valid as of July 22, 2023 at 1:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Marlins vs Rockies Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Marlins -166 +139 8.5

Marlins Betting Insights

  • The Marlins have been favorites in 48 games this season and won 30 (62.5%) of those contests.
  • Miami has entered 15 games this season favored by -166 or more and is 12-3 in those contests.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 62.4% chance to win.
  • Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 47 of its 99 games with a total this season.
  • In 99 games with a spread this season, the Marlins are 46-53-0 ATS.

Marlins Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 3.7
HR 9
ERA 4.66
K/9 9.4

Rockies Betting Insights

  • The Rockies have been victorious in 35, or 40.7%, of the 86 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Colorado has a win-loss record of 19-40 when favored by +139 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rockies have a 41.8% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Contests with Colorado has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 40 of 97 chances this season.
  • The Rockies have an against the spread record of 45-52-0 in 97 games with a line this season.

Rockies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 19
ERA 3.54
K/9 5.9

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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Johnny Cueto

  • Cueto and his team failed to cover the spread in his only opportunity this season as a starter.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance came in relief on Sunday when he threw three scoreless innings out of the bullpen against the Baltimore Orioles while allowing one hit.
  • This will be Cueto’s first start this season with his team as the moneyline favorite.
  • Cueto’s team lost in his only start this season.
  • The only game started by Cueto with a total this season hit the over.

Marlins Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Tanner Scott 40 46 69 2.74 18 2
Dylan Floro 39 38 39 4.74 9 7
Huascar Brazoban 38 48.1 49 3.72 12 0
Steven Okert 35 35 48 3.34 10 0
A.J. Puk 31 30.2 37 4.70 0 15

Rockies Probable Pitcher – Chase Anderson

  • Anderson gets the start for the Rockies, his 12th of the season. He is 0-4 with a 6.26 ERA and 38 strikeouts in 54 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last time out on Sunday, the right-hander went five scoreless innings against the New York Yankees while surrendering three hits.
  • Anderson has pitched five or more innings in a game six times this season heading into this outing.
  • He has made four appearances this season in which he did not give up an earned run.
  • The Rockies are 5-5 in Anderson’s 10 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Anderson’s team is 5-6 in his 11 starts.
  • Anderson has started 11 contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in seven of them.

Rockies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Pierce Johnson 41 38.2 57 6.05 4 13
Justin Lawrence 40 49 51 2.57 8 6
Jake Bird 40 57 54 4.11 6 0
Brad Hand 35 31.2 37 4.83 2 0
Daniel Bard 33 34.2 30 2.08 4 1

Marlins Hitting Trends

  • The Marlins have put up two or more homers in 31 games this season, and are 12-19 in those contests.
  • Miami has gone 16-1 in its 17 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team has strung together at least eight hits 80 times this season, and has a 44-36 record in those games.
  • Miami is 36-11 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Marlins have gone 12-11 over the 23 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Rockies Hitting Trends

  • They are 15-8 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • In 22 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 11-11.
  • They have won 30 of the 62 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Colorado has won 30 of its 39 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have won eight of their 12 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Marlins vs. Rockies Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Marlins (-166)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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