The Philadelphia Phillies (52-45) take a three-game losing run into a road matchup versus the Cleveland Guardians (48-49), at 7:10 PM ET on Saturday.
The Phillies are the road favorite (-126) versus the Guardians (+106). The game’s over/under is 8.
The betting insights in what follows reference odds valid as of July 22, 2023 at 7:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Guardians Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -126 | +106 | 8 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- This season, the Phillies have won 35 out of the 59 games, or 59.3%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Philadelphia has a record of 28-15 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -126 on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 55.8% chance to win.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 40 of 97 opportunities.
- The Phillies have an ATS record of 42-55-0 in 97 games with a spread this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 4.60 |
| K/9 | 7.3 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have been chosen as underdogs in 44 games this year and have walked away with the win 19 times (43.2%) in those games.
- This season, Cleveland has come away with a win 13 times in 32 chances when named as an underdog of at least +106 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 48.5% chance of walking away with the win.
- Cleveland’s games have gone over the total in 43 of its 97 opportunities.
- The Guardians have posted a record of 49-48-0 against the spread this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.5 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 4.50 |
| K/9 | 9.3 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Zack Wheeler
- Wheeler’s team is 8-11-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed five hits in seven innings pitched against the San Diego Padres on Sunday.
- Wheeler has pitched five or more innings in seven straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- In 19 appearances this season, he has finished four without allowing an earned run.
- Wheeler’s team has been victorious in 64.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 11-6.
- Wheeler’s team has won 13 of his 19 starts.
- In games Wheeler has started this season, the teams are 8-9-2 at hitting the over.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | 42 | 40 | 60 | 3.15 | 3 | 16 |
| Gregory Soto | 41 | 36.2 | 37 | 4.66 | 13 | 1 |
| Andrew Vasquez | 28 | 39.2 | 34 | 2.04 | 0 | 0 |
| Yunior Marte | 28 | 26 | 25 | 5.54 | 2 | 1 |
| Matt Strahm | 22 | 59 | 76 | 3.66 | 2 | 1 |
Guardians Probable Pitcher – Tanner Bibee
- Bibee (5-2) gets the starting nod for the Guardians in his 15th start of the season. He has a 3.32 ERA in 76 2/3 innings pitched, with 77 strikeouts.
- His last time out came on Sunday against the Texas Rangers, when the right-hander went six innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing five hits.
- Bibee will try to pitch five or more innings for his sixth straight start. He’s averaging 5.4 innings per outing.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in one of his 14 appearances this season.
- The Guardians are 2-6 in Bibee’s eight starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Bibee’s team has a 7-7 record over his 14 starts.
- Bibee’s starts hit the over on the run total six times in 14 games with a set total this season.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 44 | 44.2 | 41 | 3.22 | 0 | 26 |
| Trevor Stephan | 43 | 42 | 44 | 3.21 | 13 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 41 | 39.2 | 34 | 2.72 | 8 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 37 | 40.2 | 42 | 2.43 | 7 | 1 |
| Nick Sandlin | 34 | 37.2 | 40 | 3.35 | 5 | 0 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies have a 22-8 record in games this season when they hit at least two home runs.
- Philadelphia has put up at least five extra-base hits in 24 games this season, and has gone 18-6 in those contests.
- The team is 41-23 in the games this season it has racked up eight or more hits.
- Philadelphia has a 37-6 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Phillies are 22-9 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Guardians Hitting Trends
- They have won 13 of the 17 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 19 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 14-5.
- In 61 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 34-27.
- Cleveland has a 29-7 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 13-9 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Phillies vs. Guardians Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Guardians (+106)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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