The Tampa Bay Rays (61-40) meet the Baltimore Orioles (59-38) on Saturday at Tropicana Field, at 4:10 PM ET.
The Rays are a home favorite (-183) against the Orioles (+152). The game’s over/under is set at 8.
The betting insights in what follows reflect odds as of July 22, 2023 at 3:20 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rays vs Orioles Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | -183 | +152 | 8 |
Rays Betting Insights
- This season, the Rays have been favored 84 times and won 55, or 65.5%, of those games.
- Tampa Bay is 27-7 this season when entering a game favored by -183 or more on the moneyline.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 64.7% chance of a victory for the Rays.
- Games involving Tampa Bay has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 52 of 101 chances this season.
- The Rays are 56-45-0 ATS in their 101 games with a spread this season.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.52 |
| K/9 | 9.6 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles have won in 27, or 52.9%, of the 51 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Baltimore has been victorious two times in five chances when named as an underdog of at least +152 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 39.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Baltimore’s games have gone over the total in 50 of its 97 opportunities.
- The Orioles are 58-39-0 against the spread in their 97 games that had a posted line this season.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.6 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 4.10 |
| K/9 | 8.4 |
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Rays Probable Pitcher – Shane McClanahan
- McClanahan and his team are 12-6-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The left-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw six innings against the Texas Rangers, giving up two earned runs while allowing three hits.
- In 18 starts this season, McClanahan has lasted five or more innings 15 times, with an average of 5.7 innings per appearance.
- He has finished three appearances without allowing an earned run in 18 chances this season.
- McClanahan’s team has a record of 13-4 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- McClanahan’s team has won 14 of his 18 starts this season.
- Out of McClanahan’s 18 starts with a total this season, 11 have hit the over.
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Adam | 40 | 40.1 | 50 | 2.68 | 9 | 10 |
| Colin Poche | 39 | 36 | 31 | 2.00 | 13 | 1 |
| Jake Diekman | 38 | 31.2 | 38 | 4.26 | 7 | 0 |
| Robert Stephenson | 35 | 30.1 | 41 | 4.15 | 8 | 0 |
| Kevin Kelly | 35 | 42.2 | 35 | 3.16 | 9 | 2 |
Orioles Probable Pitcher – Grayson Rodriguez
- Rodriguez (2-2 with a 7.33 ERA and 60 strikeouts in 50 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Orioles, his 12th of the season.
- His most recent time out was on Monday against the Los Angeles Dodgers, when the righty went five innings, surrendering four earned runs while allowing seven hits.
- Rodriguez has put together seven starts this season that he pitched five or more innings.
- He has made two appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
- The Orioles are 3-3 in Rodriguez’s six starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Rodriguez’s team has put together a 7-4 record over his 11 starts.
- Rodriguez has had 11 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in eight of those games.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Baumann | 42 | 46.1 | 50 | 3.69 | 6 | 0 |
| Bryan Baker | 42 | 40 | 48 | 3.83 | 11 | 0 |
| Felix Bautista | 41 | 47 | 91 | 0.96 | 0 | 26 |
| Yeinier Cano | 40 | 47 | 41 | 1.53 | 22 | 4 |
| Danny Coulombe | 39 | 33.1 | 41 | 2.70 | 16 | 1 |
Rays Hitting Trends
- The Rays have a 35-12 record in games this season when they hit at least two home runs.
- Tampa Bay has gone 25-2 in its 27 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has strung together at least eight hits 71 times this season, and has a 46-25 record in those games.
- Tampa Bay is 45-17 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Rays have drawn at least five walks in 24 games this season, and are 19-5 in those contests.
Orioles Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 38 games this season and are 27-11 in those matchups.
- Baltimore has gone 25-3 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 42-19 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Baltimore has a 45-9 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 25 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 20-5
Rays vs. Orioles Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rays (-183)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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