Giants vs. Nationals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – July 22, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on July 22, 2023

The San Francisco Giants (54-44) will attempt to stop a three-game losing streak when visiting the Washington Nationals (39-58) at 7:05 PM ET on Saturday.

The Nationals play as a home underdog (+165) versus the Giants (-197). The total for this game is set at 8.5.

The insights in what follows are based off odds valid as of July 22, 2023 at 7:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Giants vs Nationals Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Giants -197 +165 8.5

Giants Betting Insights

  • This season, the Giants have been favored 51 times and won 28, or 54.9%, of those games.
  • San Francisco is 4-2 this season when entering a game favored by -197 or more on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Giants have a 66.3% chance to win.
  • San Francisco and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 44 of 98 opportunities.
  • The Giants are 51-47-0 against the spread this season.

Giants Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 12
ERA 3.54
K/9 7.8

Nationals Betting Insights

  • The Nationals have been victorious in 36, or 39.1%, of the 92 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Washington has won 17 of 34 games when listed as at least +165 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 37.7% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Washington’s games have gone over the total in 47 of its 96 opportunities.
  • The Nationals have an against the spread mark of 52-44-0 in 96 games with a line this season.

Nationals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.2
HR 17
ERA 6.93
K/9 7.4

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Giants Probable Pitcher – Logan Webb

  • Webb’s team is 7-13-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Monday, when he tossed seven innings while giving up two earned runs on four hits in a matchup with the Cincinnati Reds.
  • Webb will look to finish five or more innings for the 21st start in a row.
  • He has two appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 20 chances this season.
  • Webb’s team has won 58.3% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (7-5).
  • Webb’s team has won 10 of his 20 starts this season.
  • In games Webb has started this season, the teams are 6-13-1 at hitting the over.

Giants Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Camilo Doval 45 45 59 2.40 0 30
Tyler Rogers 43 49 38 2.20 21 2
Taylor Rogers 37 32.2 42 3.03 5 1
Scott Alexander 28 26.2 15 3.04 5 1
Jakob Junis 23 53.1 63 4.73 2 1

Nationals Probable Pitcher – Josiah Gray

  • Gray (6-8 with a 3.59 ERA and 94 strikeouts in 105 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Nationals, his 20th of the season.
  • His most recent time out was on Sunday against the St. Louis Cardinals, when the righty threw five innings, surrendering four earned runs while allowing 10 hits.
  • Gray is trying for his ninth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.5 innings per start.
  • In two of his 19 total appearances this season he has not allowed an earned run.
  • The Nationals have a 7-11 record in Gray’s 18 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Gray’s team is 8-11 in his 19 starts.
  • Gray has had 19 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in nine of those outings.

Nationals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Kyle Finnegan 38 41.2 40 3.24 7 13
Mason Thompson 37 44.2 39 4.03 9 1
Jordan Weems 19 24.1 25 3.70 1 0
Andres Machado 14 17 12 8.47 1 0
Joe LaSorsa 9 9.1 8 8.68 1 0

Giants Hitting Trends

  • The Giants are 22-16 this season in games when they send out two or more long balls.
  • San Francisco has put up five or more extra-base hits in 21 games this season, and has gone 14-7 in those outings.
  • The club is 38-17 in the games this season it has totaled eight or more hits.
  • San Francisco is 34-14 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Giants have drawn five or more walks in 28 games this season, and are 20-8 in those contests.

Nationals Hitting Trends

  • They have won 14 of the 23 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Washington has gone 12-4 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have won 33 of the 67 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Washington has a 26-11 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • In 18 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 8-10

Giants vs. Nationals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Giants (-197)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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