Twins vs. White Sox Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – July 22, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on July 22, 2023

Byron Buxton leads the Minnesota Twins (51-48) into a matchup against the Chicago White Sox (41-58) after his two-homer showing in a 9-4 victory over the White Sox. It begins at 7:15 PM ET on Saturday.

The Twins are favored (-137 on the moneyline to win) when they host the White Sox (+116). The contest has an over/under of 8.

The betting trends in this article reference odds valid as of July 22, 2023 at 7:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Twins vs White Sox Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Twins -137 +116 8

Twins Betting Insights

  • The Twins have won 38, or 62.3%, of the 61 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Minnesota has a record of 26-17 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -137 on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 57.8% chance to win.
  • So far this season, Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 45 of 99 games with a total.
  • In 99 games with a spread this season, the Twins are 48-51-0 ATS.

Twins Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.5
HR 19
ERA 5.93
K/9 10.6

White Sox Betting Insights

  • The White Sox have won in 22, or 34.9%, of the 63 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This season, Chicago has come away with a win 14 times in 37 chances when named as an underdog of at least +116 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the White Sox have a 46.3% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Chicago and its opponents have gone over in 44 of its 99 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The White Sox have posted a record of 49-50-0 against the spread this season.

White Sox Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 9
ERA 5.38
K/9 9.3

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Twins Probable Pitcher – Sonny Gray

  • When Gray starts, his team is 8-11-0 against the spread this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he gave up five earned runs and allowed five hits in 5 2/3 innings against the Seattle Mariners.
  • Gray will look to finish five or more innings for the sixth start in a row.
  • In 19 appearances this season, he has finished four without allowing an earned run.
  • Gray’s team is 6-6 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Gray’s team has won eight of his 19 starts this season.
  • Games Gray has started this season hit the over eight times in 19 chances.

Twins Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Griffin Jax 41 39.1 39 2.75 13 1
Emilio Pagán 37 42.1 40 3.40 2 0
Jovani Moran 36 39.2 46 4.31 8 0
Jhoan Duran 35 38.1 49 2.11 1 16
Jorge López 33 33.1 27 5.40 6 3

White Sox Probable Pitcher – Dylan Cease

  • Cease (4-3) takes the mound first for the White Sox in his 21st start of the season. He has a 4.18 ERA in 107 2/3 innings pitched, with 129 strikeouts.
  • In his last outing on Sunday against the Atlanta Braves, the righty tossed five innings, allowing one earned run while surrendering three hits.
  • Cease will try to build on a nine-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.4 innings per appearance).
  • In one of his 20 total appearances this season he has not allowed an earned run.
  • The White Sox have been the moneyline underdog in eight of Cease’s starts this season, and they went 4-4 in those games.
  • In Cease’s 20 starts, his team is 11-9.
  • Cease’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in nine of 20 contests.

White Sox Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Kendall Graveman 42 42 41 3.00 8 8
Gregory Santos 40 48 47 2.63 5 1
Reynaldo López 39 40 50 4.50 9 4
Aaron Bummer 36 33.1 42 7.02 7 0
Keynan Middleton 35 34 44 2.91 4 2

Twins Hitting Trends

  • The Twins have a 41-9 record this season in games when they belt two or more homers.
  • Minnesota has gone 30-3 in its 33 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team has put up at least eight hits 60 times this season, and has a 47-13 record in those games.
  • Minnesota is 50-5 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Twins have drawn at least five walks in 33 games this season, and are 22-11 in those contests.

White Sox Hitting Trends

  • They are 16-16 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Chicago has gone 13-7 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have a record of 33-26 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Chicago has won 27 of its 37 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • In 12 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 5-7

Twins vs. White Sox Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Twins (-137)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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