Marlins vs. Rockies Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – July 21, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on July 21, 2023

The Miami Marlins (53-45) will try to snap a six-game losing streak when hosting the Colorado Rockies (37-59) at 6:40 PM ET on Friday.

The Rockies are an underdog (+192 moneyline odds) when they square off against the Marlins (-235). The total in the game is set at 8 total runs.

The betting facts in what follows are based off odds valid as of July 21, 2023 at 5:23 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Marlins vs Rockies Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Marlins -235 +192 8

Marlins Betting Insights

  • The Marlins have won 30, or 63.8%, of the 47 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Miami has played as favorites of -235 or more twice this season and split those games.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 70.1% chance to win.
  • So far this season, Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 47 of 98 games with a total.
  • In 98 games with a spread this season, the Marlins are 46-52-0 ATS.

Marlins Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 3.6
HR 9
ERA 4.34
K/9 9.0

Rockies Betting Insights

  • The Rockies have been chosen as underdogs in 85 games this year and have walked away with the win 34 times (40%) in those games.
  • Colorado has yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +192 or worse on the moneyline this season.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rockies have a 34.2% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Colorado and its opponents have hit the over in 40 of its 96 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Rockies have posted a record of 44-52-0 against the spread this season.

Rockies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.6
HR 17
ERA 3.89
K/9 5.6

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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Braxton Garrett

  • Garrett’s team is 10-7-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The left-hander gave up four earned runs in 4 2/3 innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Baltimore Orioles.
  • Garrett has started 17 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 14 times. He averages 5.1 innings per appearance.
  • In 19 appearances this season, he has finished three without allowing an earned run.
  • Garrett’s team has won 88.9% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (8-1).
  • Garrett’s team has won 13 of his 17 starts.
  • Games Garrett has started this season hit the over nine times in 17 chances.

Marlins Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Tanner Scott 40 46 69 2.74 18 2
Huascar Brazoban 38 48.1 49 3.72 12 0
Dylan Floro 38 37 39 4.86 9 7
Steven Okert 34 34 47 3.44 10 0
A.J. Puk 31 30.2 37 4.70 0 15

Rockies Probable Pitcher – Peter Lambert

  • Lambert (1-1) starts for the Rockies, his third of the season.
  • In his last appearance on Sunday, July 2, the righty threw three scoreless innings against the Detroit Tigers while surrendering two hits.
  • He has made five appearances this season in which he did not allow an earned run.
  • The Rockies were the moneyline underdog for one Lambert start this season — they lost.
  • His team has lost both of the games he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Lambert’s two starts with a total this season both went under.

Rockies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Justin Lawrence 40 49 51 2.57 8 6
Pierce Johnson 40 37.2 55 5.97 4 13
Jake Bird 40 57 54 4.11 6 0
Brad Hand 35 31.2 37 4.83 2 0
Daniel Bard 32 33.2 29 2.14 4 1

Marlins Hitting Trends

  • The Marlins are 12-19 this season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
  • Miami is 16-1 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club has notched at least eight hits 80 times this season, and has a 44-36 record in those games.
  • Miami is 36-11 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Marlins are 12-11 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Rockies Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 22 games this season and are 14-8 in those matchups.
  • Colorado has gone 11-11 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have won 29 of the 61 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Colorado has won 29 of its 38 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have a 8-4 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Marlins vs. Rockies Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Marlins (-235)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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