The Tampa Bay Rays (60-40) will try to snap a five-game losing streak when hosting the Baltimore Orioles (59-37) at 6:40 PM ET on Friday.
The favored Rays (-146 on the moneyline) take the field at home against the Orioles (+123). The total for this game is 8.
The insights in this article are based off odds valid as of July 21, 2023 at 5:23 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rays vs Orioles Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | -146 | +123 | 8 |
Rays Betting Insights
- This season, the Rays have been favored 83 times and won 54, or 65.1%, of those games.
- Tampa Bay is 39-14 this season when entering a game favored by -146 or more on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rays have a 59.3% chance to win.
- So far this season, Tampa Bay and its opponents have hit the over in 52 of 100 games with a total.
- The Rays are 55-45-0 against the spread in their 100 chances this season.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.5 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 3.62 |
| K/9 | 9.5 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles have come away with 27 wins in the 50 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Baltimore has a mark of 9-8 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +123 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 44.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Contests with Baltimore has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 50 of 96 chances this season.
- The Orioles are 58-38-0 against the spread in their 96 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.9 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.82 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
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Rays Probable Pitcher – Zach Eflin
- Eflin’s team is 8-10-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander gave up five earned runs in three innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the Kansas City Royals.
- Eflin has made 16 starts of five or more innings in 18 chances this season, and averages 5.8 frames when he pitches.
- In 18 appearances this season, he has finished two without allowing an earned run.
- Eflin’s team has been victorious in 76.5% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 13-4.
- Eflin’s team has won 13 of his 18 starts.
- Games started by Eflin have an 8-10-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Adam | 40 | 40.1 | 50 | 2.68 | 9 | 10 |
| Jake Diekman | 38 | 31.2 | 38 | 4.26 | 7 | 0 |
| Colin Poche | 38 | 35 | 28 | 2.06 | 12 | 1 |
| Robert Stephenson | 35 | 30.1 | 41 | 4.15 | 8 | 0 |
| Kevin Kelly | 35 | 42.2 | 35 | 3.16 | 9 | 2 |
Orioles Probable Pitcher – Kyle Bradish
- The Orioles are sending Bradish (6-4) out to make his 18th start of the season. He is 6-4 with a 3.05 ERA and 87 strikeouts through 91 1/3 innings pitched.
- In his last appearance on Sunday, the right-hander tossed 7 1/3 scoreless innings against the Miami Marlins while surrendering three hits.
- Bradish will look to build upon an eight-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.4 innings per appearance).
- He is looking to keep a streak of two games without surrendering an earned run intact.
- The Orioles are 4-4 in Bradish’s eight starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Bradish’s team has compiled an 11-6 record over his 17 starts.
- Bradish has had 17 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and six of those outings finished over the total.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Baumann | 42 | 46.1 | 50 | 3.69 | 6 | 0 |
| Bryan Baker | 42 | 40 | 48 | 3.83 | 11 | 0 |
| Felix Bautista | 41 | 47 | 91 | 0.96 | 0 | 26 |
| Yeinier Cano | 40 | 47 | 41 | 1.53 | 22 | 4 |
| Danny Coulombe | 39 | 33.1 | 41 | 2.70 | 16 | 1 |
Rays Hitting Trends
- The Rays have a 34-12 record this season in games when they smash two or more home runs.
- Tampa Bay has gone 25-2 in its 27 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has strung together eight or more hits 71 times this season, and has a 46-25 record in those games.
- Tampa Bay is 45-17 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Rays have gone 19-5 in the 24 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Orioles Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 38 games this season and are 27-11 in those matchups.
- Baltimore has won 25 of its 28 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 61 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 42-19.
- Baltimore has a 45-9 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 20-5 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Rays vs. Orioles Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rays (-146)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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