The Los Angeles Angels (49-48) host the Pittsburgh Pirates (42-54) to open a three-game series at Angel Stadium of Anaheim, with first pitch at 9:38 PM ET on Friday. The Angels are coming off a series victory over the Yankees, and the Pirates a series loss to the Guardians.
The Angels are a home favorite (-189) against the Pirates (+157). The over/under for this game is set at 8.5.
The betting insights in the following article reference odds valid as of July 21, 2023 at 9:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Angels vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Angels | -189 | +157 | 8.5 |
Angels Betting Insights
- This season, the Angels have won 29 out of the 55 games, or 52.7%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Los Angeles has a record of 5-4, a 55.6% win rate, when favored by -189 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- The implied probability of a win from the Angels, based on the moneyline, is 65.4%.
- So far this season, Los Angeles and its opponents have hit the over in 48 of 97 games with a total.
- The Angels have an ATS record of 46-51-0 in 97 games with a spread this season.
Angels Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.9 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 6.75 |
| K/9 | 10 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have been victorious in 30, or 40%, of the 75 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Pittsburgh has been victorious five times in 12 chances when named as an underdog of at least +157 or worse on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 38.9% chance of pulling out a win.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 49 of its 96 opportunities.
- The Pirates have an against the spread mark of 43-53-0 in 96 games with a line this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.8 |
| HR | 4 |
| ERA | 5.46 |
| K/9 | 7.1 |
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Angels Probable Pitcher – Shohei Ohtani
- Ohtani and his team are 8-9-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up four earned runs and allowed five hits in five innings against the Houston Astros.
- Ohtani has 17 starts of five or more innings this season in 17 chances. He averages 5.8 innings per outing.
- He has finished three appearances without allowing an earned run in 18 chances this season.
- Ohtani’s team has a record of 9-5 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Ohtani’s team has won 10 of his 17 starts.
- In Ohtani’s 17 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over eight times.
Angels Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Estévez | 37 | 38 | 45 | 2.13 | 2 | 21 |
| Aaron Loup | 30 | 27 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| Matt Moore | 24 | 28 | 25 | 2.25 | 12 | 0 |
| Jacob Webb | 24 | 25.2 | 26 | 3.51 | 6 | 1 |
| Tucker Davidson | 18 | 31.2 | 31 | 6.54 | 0 | 2 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Juan Carlos Oviedo
- The Pirates are sending Oviedo (3-10) to the mound for his 20th start of the season. He is 3-10 with a 4.53 ERA and 97 strikeouts through 107 1/3 innings pitched.
- In his last appearance on Saturday, the righty went seven innings against the San Francisco Giants, giving up one earned run while surrendering one hit.
- Oviedo will try to continue a six-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.6 innings per outing).
- In one of his 19 total appearances this season he has not allowed an earned run.
- The Pirates have a 3-12 record in Oviedo’s 15 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Oviedo’s team has a 6-13 record over his 19 starts.
- Oviedo has had 19 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and eight of those games hit the over.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dauri Moreta | 41 | 42 | 56 | 3.43 | 4 | 1 |
| David Bednar | 36 | 38 | 46 | 1.18 | 0 | 18 |
| Colin Holderman | 32 | 31 | 30 | 4.06 | 14 | 1 |
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 19 | 24.1 | 14 | 5.18 | 3 | 2 |
| Angel Perdomo | 18 | 17.2 | 26 | 3.57 | 3 | 0 |
Angels Hitting Trends
- The Angels are 27-14 this season in games when they crush two or more homers.
- Los Angeles is 15-7 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has strung together at least eight hits 64 times this season, and has a 37-27 record in those games.
- Los Angeles is 38-16 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Angels are 18-11 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They have won 18 of the 24 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Pittsburgh has won 16 of its 18 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 42 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 30-12.
- Pittsburgh has a 27-5 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 27 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 13-14
Angels vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Angels (-189)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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