Dodgers vs. Rangers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – July 21, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on July 21, 2023

The Texas Rangers (58-39) will try to keep a six-game win streak alive when they host the Los Angeles Dodgers (55-40) at 8:05 PM ET on Friday.

The Dodgers are the road favorite (-125) versus the Rangers (+105). The total in the game is set at 9 total runs.

The insights in the following article reference odds valid as of July 21, 2023 at 7:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Dodgers vs Rangers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Dodgers -125 +105 9

Dodgers Betting Insights

  • The Dodgers have been favorites in 79 games this season and won 47 (59.5%) of those contests.
  • Los Angeles has entered 68 games this season favored by -125 or more and is 39-29 in those contests.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Dodgers have a 55.6% chance to win.
  • Los Angeles’ games have gone over the total in 54 of its 95 chances.
  • The Dodgers are 51-44-0 ATS in their 95 games with a spread this season.

Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 6.5
HR 20
ERA 3.24
K/9 8.6

Rangers Betting Insights

  • The Rangers have been underdogs in 31 games this season and have come away with the win 18 times (58.1%) in those contests.
  • Texas has a win-loss record of 8-11 when favored by +105 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rangers have a 48.8% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Texas’ games have gone over the total in 49 of its 97 opportunities.
  • The Rangers are 58-39-0 against the spread in their 97 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Rangers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.1
HR 15
ERA 4.24
K/9 7.2

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Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Tony Gonsolin

  • When Gonsolin starts, his team is 8-6-0 against the spread this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed two hits in five innings against the New York Mets.
  • Gonsolin has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • He has made 14 appearances and finished five of them without allowing an earned run.
  • Gonsolin’s team has a record of 6-5 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Gonsolin’s team is 7-7 when he starts this season.
  • In Gonsolin’s 14 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over nine times.

Dodgers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Yency Almonte 40 39.2 38 4.76 9 0
Brusdar Graterol 39 40.1 29 1.79 10 4
Caleb Ferguson 37 35.1 42 2.55 14 2
Evan Phillips 37 37.1 44 2.41 6 12
Phil Bickford 32 37.1 46 5.54 3 0

Rangers Probable Pitcher – Andrew Heaney

  • Heaney (6-6) takes the mound first for the Rangers in his 19th start of the season. He has a 4.43 ERA in 91 1/3 innings pitched, with 97 strikeouts.
  • His most recent time out came on Saturday against the Cleveland Guardians, when the left-hander tossed 5 1/3 scoreless innings while giving up six hits.
  • Heaney has pitched five or more innings in a game 13 times this season heading into this matchup.
  • He has had five appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
  • The Rangers are 2-3 in Heaney’s five starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Over Heaney’s 18 starts, his team is 10-8.
  • Heaney has had 18 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and 10 of those matchups finished over the total.

Rangers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Aroldis Chapman 35 35.1 63 2.04 8 3
Will Smith 35 36 38 2.75 5 17
Brock Burke 30 38.2 30 2.79 9 0
José Leclerc 28 28.2 30 3.14 2 1
Grant Anderson 18 26 22 4.15 4 0

Dodgers Hitting Trends

  • The Dodgers have put up two or more round-trippers in 51 games this season, and are 37-14 in those outings.
  • Los Angeles is 23-9 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team is 43-17 in the games this season it has racked up at least eight hits.
  • Los Angeles is 48-15 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Dodgers have drawn at least five walks in 43 games this season, and are 31-12 in those contests.

Rangers Hitting Trends

  • They have won 34 of the 46 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Texas has gone 22-12 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have won 57 of the 82 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • In 68 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 52-16.
  • In 35 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 23-12

Dodgers vs. Rangers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rangers (+105)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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