The New York Yankees (50-47) host the Kansas City Royals (28-70) to start a three-game series at Yankee Stadium, with first pitch at 7:05 PM ET on Friday. The Yankees are coming off a series defeat to the Angels, and the Royals a series loss to the Tigers.
The Royals are an underdog (+170 moneyline odds) when they square off against the Yankees (-202). The game’s total is 8.5.
The insights in the article below use the latest odds as of July 21, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Yankees vs Royals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | -202 | +170 | 8.5 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- The Yankees have entered the game as favorites 64 times this season and won 36, or 56.2%, of those games.
- New York has a record of 3-2 when favored by -202 or more by bookmakers this season.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 66.9% chance to win.
- Games involving New York has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 42 of 97 chances this season.
- In 97 games with a spread this season, the Yankees are 50-47-0 ATS.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.3 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 5.73 |
| K/9 | 9.3 |
Royals Betting Insights
- The Royals have been victorious in 25, or 29.4%, of the 85 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- Kansas City has a win-loss record of 9-19 when favored by +170 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- The Royals have an implied victory probability of 37% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Kansas City and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 44 of its 98 opportunities.
- The Royals have an against the spread mark of 39-59-0 in 98 games with a line this season.
Royals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.6 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 4.70 |
| K/9 | 7.0 |
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Yankees Probable Pitcher – Clarke Schmidt
- Schmidt and his team have a record of 9-10-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed three hits in six innings against the Colorado Rockies.
- Schmidt has 12 starts of five or more innings this season in 19 chances. He averages 4.7 innings per outing.
- He has five appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 20 chances this season.
- Schmidt’s team has been victorious in 42.9% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 6-8.
- Schmidt’s team has won seven of his 19 starts this season.
- Out of Schmidt’s 19 starts with a total this season, six have hit the over.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | 41 | 36.2 | 30 | 2.45 | 12 | 4 |
| Ron Marinaccio | 39 | 42.1 | 48 | 3.61 | 7 | 2 |
| Clay Holmes | 38 | 37.2 | 47 | 1.91 | 5 | 11 |
| Albert Abreu | 32 | 41.1 | 46 | 4.35 | 3 | 0 |
| Michael King | 30 | 51.1 | 57 | 3.33 | 3 | 6 |
Royals Probable Pitcher – Alec Marsh
- Marsh (0-3 with a 5.40 ERA and 21 strikeouts in 15 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Royals, his fourth of the season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday against the Tampa Bay Rays, when he threw six innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up five hits.
- Marsh will try to pitch five or more innings for his third straight start. He’s averaging 5.0 innings per outing.
- The Royals were the underdog on the moneyline for three Marsh starts this season — they lost every time.
- All three of Marsh’s starts this season have ended in defeat for his team.
- Marsh has had three starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in one of those outings.
Royals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Cuas | 38 | 38.1 | 48 | 3.99 | 3 | 0 |
| Taylor Clarke | 36 | 39.1 | 44 | 6.41 | 10 | 0 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 34 | 48 | 56 | 3.75 | 7 | 0 |
| Scott Barlow | 32 | 35 | 45 | 4.89 | 0 | 11 |
| Amir Garrett | 25 | 24.1 | 28 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
Yankees Hitting Trends
- The Yankees have hit two or more round-trippers in 53 games this season, and are 39-14 in those outings.
- New York has gone 13-2 in its 15 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team is 41-21 in the games this season it has notched eight or more hits.
- New York is 38-12 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Yankees have drawn at least five walks in 26 games this season, and are 16-10 in those contests.
Royals Hitting Trends
- They are 7-13 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Kansas City has gone 10-12 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 54 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 21-33.
- In 29 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 18-11.
- They have a 3-11 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Yankees vs. Royals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Yankees (-202)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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