The San Diego Padres (46-51) and Detroit Tigers (44-52) square off in the first of a three-game series on Friday at Comerica Park, at 6:40 PM ET. The Padres are coming off a series victory over the Blue Jays, and the Tigers a series win over the Royals.
The Padres are the road favorite (-146) versus the Tigers (+122). The contest has a set total of 9.
The betting trends in the following article use the latest odds as of July 21, 2023 at 3:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Padres vs Tigers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -146 | +122 | 9 |
Padres Betting Insights
- The Padres have been favorites in 71 games this season and won 37 (52.1%) of those contests.
- This season San Diego has won 25 of its 46 games, or 54.3%, when favored by at least -146 on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 59.3% chance to win.
- Games involving San Diego has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 39 of 97 chances this season.
- The Padres have an ATS record of 47-50-0 in 97 games with a spread this season.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 3.50 |
| K/9 | 10.1 |
Tigers Betting Insights
- The Tigers have been chosen as underdogs in 80 games this year and have walked away with the win 35 times (43.8%) in those games.
- This season, Detroit has come away with a win 27 times in 58 chances when named as an underdog of at least +122 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 45% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Detroit and its opponents have hit the over in 51 of its 97 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- In 97 games with a line this season, the Tigers have a mark of 52-45-0 against the spread.
Tigers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 3.54 |
| K/9 | 7.7 |
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Padres Probable Pitcher – Seth Lugo
- When Lugo starts, his team is 7-6-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up five earned runs and allowed seven hits in 5 1/3 innings against the Philadelphia Phillies.
- Lugo will look to finish five or more innings for the sixth start in a row.
- He has finished one appearance without allowing an earned run in 13 chances this season.
- Lugo’s team is 4-6 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Lugo’s team has won five of his 13 starts.
- Out of Lugo’s 13 starts with a total this season, six have hit the over.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hill | 41 | 40.2 | 25 | 3.98 | 9 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 38 | 36 | 54 | 1 | 0 | 23 |
| Steven Wilson | 37 | 40 | 42 | 2.7 | 18 | 0 |
| Nick Martínez | 35 | 69.2 | 59 | 3.75 | 12 | 1 |
| Luís Garcia | 35 | 33.2 | 33 | 5.61 | 9 | 0 |
Tigers Probable Pitcher – Reese Olson
- The Tigers will send Olson (1-3) out for his seventh start of the season. He is 1-3 with a 3.96 ERA and 40 strikeouts through 38 2/3 innings pitched.
- The righty last appeared on Sunday against the Seattle Mariners, when he went 5 1/3 innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up six hits.
- Olson will try to pick up his seventh outing of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 4.2 innings per appearance.
- He has had one appearances this season in which he did not give up an earned run.
- The Tigers have a 3-3 record in Olson’s six starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Olson’s team has a 4-3 record in his starts this season.
- Olson’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in four of seven contests.
Tigers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Foley | 41 | 42.1 | 37 | 2.13 | 17 | 4 |
| Alex Lange | 39 | 39.2 | 51 | 4.08 | 2 | 16 |
| José Cisnero | 38 | 36 | 40 | 3.25 | 10 | 1 |
| Chasen Shreve | 38 | 34.2 | 34 | 4.41 | 11 | 0 |
| Tyler Holton | 30 | 50.2 | 44 | 1.78 | 5 | 0 |
Padres Hitting Trends
- The Padres are 21-19 this season in games when they crush at least two homers.
- San Diego has had at least five extra-base hits in 24 games this season, and has gone 16-8 in those outings.
- The team has put up at least eight hits in 51 games this season, and is 34-17 in those contests.
- San Diego has a 37-7 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Padres are 24-17 in the 41 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Tigers Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 23 games this season and are 15-8 in those matchups.
- In 16 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 12-4.
- They have a record of 41-13 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 44 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 35-9.
- They have won 17 of their 26 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Padres vs. Tigers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Padres (-146)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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