The Cleveland Guardians (47-49) will look to Josh Bell, riding a two-game homer streak, against the Philadelphia Phillies (52-44) at 7:10 PM ET on Friday, at Progressive Field.
The Guardians (+103 underdog on the moneyline) host the Phillies (-122). The matchup has an over/under set at 8.5 total runs.
The betting insights in the following article reflect odds as of July 21, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Guardians Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -122 | +103 | 8.5 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have been favorites in 58 games this season and won 35 (60.3%) of those contests.
- Philadelphia is 29-16 this season when entering a game favored by -122 or more on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 55% chance to win.
- So far this season, Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 39 of 96 games with a total.
- The Phillies are 42-54-0 against the spread in their 96 chances this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 4.25 |
| K/9 | 7.3 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have been underdogs in 43 games this season and have come away with the win 18 times (41.9%) in those contests.
- This year, Cleveland has won 14 of 34 games when listed as at least +103 or worse on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 49.3% chance of pulling out a win.
- Contests with Cleveland has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 42 of 96 chances this season.
- In 96 games with a line this season, the Guardians have a mark of 48-48-0 against the spread.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.5 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 4.08 |
| K/9 | 9.2 |
If you’re looking for a place to bet on the Phillies or Guardians, look no further than DraftKings Sportsbook, where you can use our link to get the best offer for new depositors!
Phillies Probable Pitcher – Ranger Suarez
- Suarez and his team are 7-5-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The left-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw six innings against the San Diego Padres, giving up three earned runs while allowing six hits.
- Suarez has 10 starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has one appearance with no earned runs allowed in 12 chances this season.
- Suarez’s team is 3-2 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Suarez’s team has won seven of his 12 starts.
- Games Suarez has started this season hit the over five times in 12 chances.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | 42 | 40 | 60 | 3.15 | 3 | 16 |
| Gregory Soto | 40 | 35.2 | 37 | 4.79 | 13 | 1 |
| Andrew Vasquez | 28 | 39.2 | 34 | 2.04 | 0 | 0 |
| Yunior Marte | 27 | 25.2 | 24 | 4.91 | 2 | 1 |
| Matt Strahm | 21 | 58.1 | 76 | 3.70 | 2 | 1 |
Guardians Probable Pitcher – Gavin Williams
- Williams (1-2) takes the mound first for the Guardians in his sixth start of the season. He has a 3.94 ERA in 29 2/3 innings pitched, with 23 strikeouts.
- His last appearance came on Saturday against the Texas Rangers, when the right-hander threw five innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing four hits.
- Williams will look to build on a six-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.8 frames per outing).
- In one of his appearances this season he has not allow an earned run.
- The Guardians were the underdog on the moneyline for two Williams starts this season — they lost both.
- Williams’ team is 3-2 over his five starts.
- Williams’ starts with a set total this season have hit the over in two of five games.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 43 | 43.2 | 41 | 3.30 | 0 | 25 |
| Trevor Stephan | 42 | 40.1 | 42 | 3.35 | 13 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 41 | 39.2 | 34 | 2.72 | 8 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 36 | 39.1 | 39 | 2.29 | 7 | 1 |
| Nick Sandlin | 33 | 36.2 | 39 | 2.70 | 4 | 0 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies are 22-7 this season in games when they send out at least two homers.
- Philadelphia has gone 18-6 in its 24 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has notched eight or more hits in 63 games this season, and is 41-22 in those contests.
- Philadelphia is 37-5 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Phillies are 22-8 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Guardians Hitting Trends
- They are 13-4 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Cleveland has won 14 of its 19 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 60 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 33-27.
- In 35 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 28-7.
- They have a 13-9 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Phillies vs. Guardians Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Guardians (+103)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
Ready to bet? Check out our great offer for new users at DraftKings, no promo code required!
Odds subject to change. Not all offers available in all areas. See DraftKings for offer details, terms and conditions. Must be 21+ to gamble, please wager responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, contact 1-800-GAMBLER.
