Eugenio Suarez takes a three-game homer streak into the Seattle Mariners’ (47-48) game against the Minnesota Twins (50-47) at 3:40 PM ET on Thursday, at T-Mobile Park.
The favored Mariners (-124 moneyline odds to win) take the field at home against the Twins (+104). The matchup has an over/under of 7.5 total runs.
The betting trends in the following article use the latest odds as of July 20, 2023 at 3:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mariners vs Twins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners | -124 | +104 | 7.5 |
Mariners Betting Insights
- The Mariners have won 34, or 53.1%, of the 64 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Seattle is 28-24 this season when entering a game favored by -124 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Mariners, based on the moneyline, is 55.4%.
- Seattle and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 48 of 95 opportunities.
- The Mariners are 42-53-0 against the spread in their 95 chances this season.
Mariners Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.9 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.54 |
| K/9 | 9.5 |
Twins Betting Insights
- The Twins have come away with 13 wins in the 36 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This season, Minnesota has been victorious 12 times in 26 chances when named as an underdog of at least +104 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Twins have an implied victory probability of 49% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Minnesota and its opponents have gone over in 44 of its 97 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- In 97 games with a line this season, the Twins have a mark of 47-50-0 against the spread.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.2 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 5.10 |
| K/9 | 10.4 |
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Mariners Probable Pitcher – George Kirby
- Kirby and his team are 8-10-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw five innings against the Detroit Tigers, giving up six earned runs while allowing eight hits.
- Kirby has six starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has three appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 18 chances this season.
- Kirby’s team has been victorious in 57.1% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 8-6.
- Kirby’s team has won nine of his 18 starts.
- Out of Kirby’s 18 starts with a total this season, eight have hit the over.
Mariners Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Brash | 44 | 38 | 67 | 3.32 | 11 | 1 |
| Paul Sewald | 39 | 37.2 | 55 | 3.11 | 0 | 19 |
| Justin Topa | 39 | 36.1 | 33 | 2.72 | 14 | 1 |
| Gabe Speier | 38 | 30.2 | 30 | 4.11 | 9 | 0 |
| Tayler Saucedo | 27 | 27.2 | 29 | 2.6 | 0 | 0 |
Twins Probable Pitcher – Pablo Lopez
- Lopez gets the start for the Twins, his 20th of the season. He is 5-5 with a 4.24 ERA and 145 strikeouts in 116 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent time out on Saturday against the Oakland Athletics, the righty threw 5 2/3 innings, giving up seven earned runs while surrendering eight hits.
- Lopez will look to prolong an 11-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.1 frames per appearance).
- He has had two appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Twins have been the underdog on the moneyline in five of Lopez’s starts this season, and they went 1-4 in those matchups.
- Lopez’s team is 11-8 over his 19 starts.
- Lopez’s starts hit the over on the run total 10 times in 19 games with a set total this season.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 41 | 39.1 | 39 | 2.75 | 13 | 1 |
| Emilio Pagán | 36 | 41.1 | 40 | 3.48 | 2 | 0 |
| Jovani Moran | 35 | 37.2 | 44 | 4.54 | 8 | 0 |
| Jhoan Duran | 35 | 38.1 | 49 | 2.11 | 1 | 16 |
| Jorge López | 32 | 32.1 | 25 | 4.73 | 6 | 3 |
Mariners Hitting Trends
- The Mariners are 22-9 this season in games when they hit at least two bombs.
- Seattle has racked up at least five extra-base hits in 13 games this season, and has gone 12-1 in those contests.
- The club has strung together eight or more hits in 55 games this season, and is 35-20 in those contests.
- Seattle is 42-7 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Mariners are 24-11 over the 35 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Twins Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 49 games this season and are 40-9 in those matchups.
- Minnesota has gone 29-3 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 46 of the 59 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Minnesota has won 49 of its 54 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 22 of their 33 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Mariners vs. Twins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Mariners (-124)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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