The San Diego Padres (46-50) aim to finish off a sweep of a three-game series versus the Toronto Blue Jays (53-43), at 1:07 PM ET on Thursday.
The Padres are favored (-121 on the moneyline) when they visit the Blue Jays (+102). The over/under in the game is 9 total runs.
The betting trends in the article below use the latest odds as of July 20, 2023 at 1:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Padres vs Blue Jays Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -121 | +102 | 9 |
Padres Betting Insights
- The Padres have won 37, or 52.9%, of the 70 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- San Diego has a record of 31-26 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -121 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.8% chance of a victory for the Padres.
- Games involving San Diego has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 39 of 96 chances this season.
- The Padres are 47-49-0 against the spread this season.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.2 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 3.26 |
| K/9 | 10.1 |
Blue Jays Betting Insights
- The Blue Jays have been underdogs in 25 games this season and have come away with the win 12 times (48%) in those contests.
- Toronto has a mark of 7-9 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +102 or worse on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Blue Jays have a 49.5% chance of pulling out a win.
- Toronto’s games have gone over the total in 42 of its 96 opportunities.
- The Blue Jays are 43-53-0 against the spread in their 96 games that had a posted line this season.
Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 3.03 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
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Padres Probable Pitcher – Blake Snell
- Snell and his team have a record of 8-11-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The left-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw five scoreless innings against the Philadelphia Phillies while allowing three hits.
- Snell will look to finish five or more innings for the 11th start in a row.
- He is looking for his fourth appearance in a row with no earned runs allowed.
- When Snell starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 7-7.
- Snell’s team is 7-12 when he starts this season.
- In Snell’s 19 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over eight times.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hill | 41 | 40.2 | 25 | 3.98 | 9 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 38 | 36 | 54 | 1.00 | 0 | 23 |
| Steven Wilson | 36 | 39 | 41 | 2.77 | 18 | 0 |
| Nick Martínez | 35 | 69.2 | 59 | 3.75 | 12 | 1 |
| Luís Garcia | 34 | 32.2 | 32 | 5.51 | 9 | 0 |
Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Chris Bassitt
- The Blue Jays will send Bassitt (9-5) to the mound for his 21st start of the season as he goes for his 10th victory. He is 9-5 with a 4.12 ERA and 107 strikeouts in 115 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his last time out on Saturday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, the right-hander went six innings, giving up two earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
- Bassitt enters this game with 15 outings of five or more innings pitched this season.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in six of his 20 outings this season.
- The Blue Jays are 5-3 in Bassitt’s eight starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Bassitt’s team is 12-8 over his 20 starts.
- Bassitt’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in six of 20 contests.
Blue Jays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Swanson | 43 | 44 | 49 | 3.07 | 22 | 2 |
| Tim Mayza | 43 | 31.2 | 33 | 1.14 | 12 | 1 |
| Yimi Garcia | 42 | 39.2 | 47 | 4.31 | 10 | 2 |
| Jordan Romano | 38 | 37.2 | 48 | 2.87 | 1 | 26 |
| Trevor Richards | 29 | 48.2 | 73 | 2.96 | 5 | 0 |
Padres Hitting Trends
- The Padres are 21-19 this season in games when they hit two or more homers.
- San Diego has collected five or more extra-base hits in 24 games this season, and has gone 16-8 in those outings.
- The team has notched eight or more hits 51 times this season, and has a 34-17 record in those games.
- San Diego is 37-7 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Padres have gone 24-17 over the 41 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Blue Jays Hitting Trends
- They are 20-10 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 18 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 14-4.
- They have a record of 48-26 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 50 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 39-11.
- They have a 15-7 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Padres vs. Blue Jays Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Blue Jays (+102)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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