Eugenio Suarez carries a two-game homer streak into the Seattle Mariners’ (47-47) game versus the Minnesota Twins (49-47) at 9:40 PM ET on Wednesday, at T-Mobile Park.
The Mariners are favored at home (-154) against the Twins (+130). The over/under for this game is set at 7.5.
The betting insights in the article below reference odds valid as of July 19, 2023 at 9:21 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mariners vs Twins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners | -154 | +130 | 7.5 |
Mariners Betting Insights
- This season, the Mariners have won 34 out of the 63 games, or 54%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Seattle has a record of 18-13, a 58.1% win rate, when favored by -154 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 60.6% chance of a victory for the Mariners.
- Seattle’s games have gone over the total in 47 of its 94 chances.
- In 94 games with a spread this season, the Mariners are 42-52-0 ATS.
Mariners Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.6 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 3.07 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
Twins Betting Insights
- The Twins have been chosen as underdogs in 35 games this year and have walked away with the win 12 times (34.3%) in those games.
- Minnesota has a win-loss record of 3-6 when favored by +130 or worse by bookmakers this year.
- The Twins have an implied victory probability of 43.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Contests with Minnesota has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 43 of 96 chances this season.
- The Twins are 46-50-0 against the spread in their 96 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.5 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 5.00 |
| K/9 | 9.9 |
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Mariners Probable Pitcher – Luis Castillo
- Castillo and his team are 6-13-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up three earned runs in five innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Detroit Tigers.
- Castillo has 19 starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has finished six appearances without allowing an earned run in 19 chances this season.
- Castillo’s team has won 50% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (8-8).
- Castillo’s team has won nine of his 19 starts.
- Out of Castillo’s 19 starts with a total this season, 10 have hit the over.
Mariners Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Brash | 44 | 38 | 67 | 3.32 | 11 | 1 |
| Paul Sewald | 39 | 37.2 | 55 | 3.11 | 0 | 19 |
| Justin Topa | 38 | 35.2 | 32 | 2.78 | 14 | 1 |
| Gabe Speier | 37 | 30.1 | 29 | 4.15 | 9 | 0 |
| Tayler Saucedo | 27 | 27.2 | 29 | 2.6 | 0 | 0 |
Twins Probable Pitcher – Kenta Maeda
- Maeda (2-5 with a 5.50 ERA and 41 strikeouts in 36 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Twins, his ninth of the season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Saturday against the Oakland Athletics, when he went three innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up four hits.
- Maeda is looking to pick up his sixth start of five or more innings this season in this game.
- He has had one outing this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Twins were the moneyline underdog for five Maeda starts this season — they lost every game.
- Maeda’s team has won three of his eight starts.
- Maeda has started eight contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in four of them.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 40 | 38.2 | 38 | 2.56 | 13 | 1 |
| Emilio Pagán | 35 | 40.1 | 38 | 3.57 | 1 | 0 |
| Jovani Moran | 35 | 37.2 | 44 | 4.54 | 8 | 0 |
| Jhoan Duran | 34 | 37.1 | 47 | 2.17 | 1 | 15 |
| Jorge López | 32 | 32.1 | 25 | 4.73 | 6 | 3 |
Mariners Hitting Trends
- The Mariners have a 22-8 record this season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
- Seattle has gone 12-1 in its 13 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has put up eight or more hits in 55 games this season, and is 35-20 in those contests.
- Seattle is 42-7 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Mariners are 24-11 over the 35 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Twins Hitting Trends
- They have won 39 of the 48 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 32 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 29-3.
- They have a record of 45-13 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Minnesota has a 48-5 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 21-11 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Mariners vs. Twins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Mariners (-154)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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