The Boston Red Sox (51-45) and Oakland Athletics (26-71) play a rubber match on Wednesday at 3:37 PM ET, with the series deadlocked at 1-1.
The Athletics are a heavy underdog (+181 moneyline odds) when they take the field at home against the Red Sox (-219). The game’s total is set at 8.5.
The betting trends in the article below reference odds valid as of July 19, 2023 at 7:17 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Red Sox vs Athletics Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | -219 | +181 | 8.5 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have won 24, or 55.8%, of the 43 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Boston has a record of 3-2 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -219 on the moneyline.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 68.7% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
- So far this season, Boston and its opponents have hit the over in 51 of 96 games with a total.
- The Red Sox are 49-47-0 ATS in their 96 games with a spread this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.5 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 3.58 |
| K/9 | 10.0 |
Athletics Betting Insights
- The Athletics have been chosen as underdogs in 96 games this year and have walked away with the win 26 times (27.1%) in those games.
- This year, Oakland has won 10 of 45 games when listed as at least +181 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Athletics have an implied victory probability of 35.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Contests with Oakland has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 51 of 97 chances this season.
- The Athletics have an against the spread mark of 46-51-0 in 97 games with a line this season.
Athletics Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.9 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 6.28 |
| K/9 | 9.4 |
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Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Brayan Bello
- Bello and his team are 10-5-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed six innings while giving up three earned runs on eight hits in a matchup with the Chicago Cubs.
- Bello has pitched five or more innings in seven straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has yet to finish an appearance without an earned run allowed this season.
- Bello’s team has a record of 5-3 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Bello’s team has a 10-5 record in his starts this season.
- In games Bello has started this season, the teams are 7-8-0 at hitting the over.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Winckowski | 31 | 51.2 | 40 | 3.14 | 9 | 2 |
| Chris Martin | 31 | 29.2 | 26 | 1.52 | 14 | 1 |
| Kenley Jansen | 31 | 31 | 37 | 3.19 | 0 | 20 |
| Brennan Bernardino | 22 | 31.2 | 33 | 2.27 | 1 | 0 |
| Richard Bleier | 18 | 21 | 14 | 5.57 | 2 | 0 |
Athletics Probable Pitcher – Ken Waldichuk
- Waldichuk makes the start for the Athletics, his 14th of the season. He is 2-6 with a 6.66 ERA and 73 strikeouts in 75 2/3 innings pitched.
- The lefty’s most recent time out came on Saturday against the Minnesota Twins, when he went 3 2/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up three hits.
- Waldichuk is looking to collect his ninth start of five or more innings this year in this matchup.
- He has made six appearances this season in which he did not allow an earned run.
- The Athletics have been the moneyline underdog in 13 of Waldichuk’s starts this season, and they went 5-8 in those games.
- Waldichuk’s team has put together a 5-8 record in his 13 starts.
- Waldichuk has had 13 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in seven of those matchups.
Athletics Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Moll | 38 | 35.1 | 44 | 4.58 | 6 | 1 |
| Sam Long | 27 | 35 | 26 | 4.11 | 3 | 2 |
| Trevor May | 27 | 24.2 | 20 | 5.11 | 1 | 7 |
| Shintaro Fujinami | 26 | 49.1 | 51 | 8.57 | 3 | 0 |
| Lucas Erceg | 22 | 26 | 38 | 5.88 | 3 | 0 |
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- The Red Sox are 22-9 this season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
- Boston has collected at least five extra-base hits in 32 games this season, and has gone 23-9 in those contests.
- The team has notched at least eight hits 69 times this season, and has a 42-27 record in those games.
- Boston is 42-9 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Red Sox have drawn five or more walks in 22 games this season, and are 12-10 in those contests.
Athletics Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 27 games this season and are 16-11 in those matchups.
- In 16 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 13-3.
- They have won 18 of the 43 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Oakland has a 21-12 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won 15 of their 26 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Red Sox vs. Athletics Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Red Sox (-219)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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