Dodgers vs. Orioles Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – July 19, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on July 19, 2023

Freddie Freeman leads the Los Angeles Dodgers (55-39) into a matchup with Austin Hays and the Baltimore Orioles (57-37) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, on Wednesday at 1:05 PM ET. Freeman is at .323, the third-best average in the league, and Hays is eighth at .308.

The Orioles are an underdog (+128 on the moneyline to win) when they take on the Dodgers (-151). The contest has a set total of 9.5.

The betting trends in the article below use the latest odds as of July 19, 2023 at 7:15 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Dodgers vs Orioles Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Dodgers -151 +128 9.5

Dodgers Betting Insights

  • This season, the Dodgers have won 47 out of the 78 games, or 60.3%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Los Angeles has a record of 25-21 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -151 on the moneyline.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 60.2% chance of a victory for the Dodgers.
  • Games involving Los Angeles has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 53 of 94 chances this season.
  • The Dodgers have an ATS record of 51-43-0 in 94 games with a spread this season.

Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 6.7
HR 22
ERA 3.30
K/9 9.3

Orioles Betting Insights

  • The Orioles have been underdogs in 48 games this season and have come away with the win 25 times (52.1%) in those contests.
  • Baltimore has a win-loss record of 6-6 when favored by +128 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 43.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Contests with Baltimore has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 49 of 94 chances this season.
  • In 94 games with a line this season, the Orioles have a mark of 56-38-0 against the spread.

Orioles Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 6.7
HR 15
ERA 3.26
K/9 8.2

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Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Julio Urias

  • When Urias starts, his team is 8-5-0 against the spread this season.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Friday, when he allowed one hit in six scoreless innings against the New York Mets.
  • Urias has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • He has finished two appearances without allowing an earned run in 13 chances this season.
  • When Urias starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 8-5.
  • Urías’ team has an 8-5 record in his starts this season.
  • Games Urias has started this season hit the over seven times in 13 chances.

Dodgers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Yency Almonte 40 39.2 38 4.76 9 0
Brusdar Graterol 39 40.1 29 1.79 10 4
Caleb Ferguson 37 35.1 42 2.55 14 2
Evan Phillips 37 37.1 44 2.41 6 12
Phil Bickford 31 36.1 46 5.70 3 0

Orioles Probable Pitcher – Dean Kremer

  • Kremer (10-4 with a 4.59 ERA and 100 strikeouts in 104 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Orioles, his 20th of the season.
  • The right-hander’s most recent appearance came on Friday against the Miami Marlins, when he went six innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up two hits.
  • Kremer will look to build on a three-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.5 frames per outing).
  • In two of his appearances this season he has not surrender an earned run.
  • The Orioles have a 9-3 record in Kremer’s 12 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Kremer’s team has put together a 13-6 record over his 19 starts.
  • Kremer’s starts hit the over on the run total 11 times in 19 games with a set total this season.

Orioles Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Michael Baumann 42 46.1 50 3.69 6 0
Bryan Baker 41 39.1 47 3.89 11 0
Felix Bautista 39 44 87 1.02 0 25
Danny Coulombe 38 31 38 2.90 16 1
Yeinier Cano 38 44.2 39 1.61 21 4

Dodgers Hitting Trends

  • The Dodgers are 37-13 this season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
  • Los Angeles has had at least five extra-base hits in 32 games this season, and has gone 23-9 in those contests.
  • The club is 43-17 in the games this season it has strung together eight or more hits.
  • Los Angeles has a 48-14 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Dodgers are 31-12 over the 43 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Orioles Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 38 games this season and are 27-11 in those matchups.
  • In 27 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 24-3.
  • They have won 41 of the 60 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Baltimore has won 44 of its 53 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • In 25 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 20-5

Dodgers vs. Orioles Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Orioles (+128)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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