Spencer Torkelson leads the Detroit Tigers (42-52) into a contest versus the Kansas City Royals (28-68) following his two-homer showing in an 11-10 defeat to the Royals. It begins at 8:10 PM ET on Wednesday.
The Tigers are the road favorite (-154) versus the Royals (+128). The contest has a set total of 8.5.
The insights in what follows use the latest odds as of July 19, 2023 at 7:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Tigers vs Royals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tigers | -154 | +128 | 8.5 |
Tigers Betting Insights
- The Tigers have won eight, or 53.3%, of the 15 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Detroit is 1-5 this season when entering a game favored by -154 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Tigers, based on the moneyline, is 60.6%.
- So far this season, Detroit and its opponents have hit the over in 51 of 95 games with a total.
- The Tigers have an ATS record of 51-44-0 in 95 games with a spread this season.
Tigers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.55 |
| K/9 | 8.5 |
Royals Betting Insights
- The Royals have been underdogs in 83 games this season and have come away with the win 25 times (30.1%) in those contests.
- This season, Kansas City has been victorious 18 times in 62 chances when named as an underdog of at least +128 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Royals have an implied victory probability of 43.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Kansas City and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 44 of its 96 opportunities.
- The Royals are 38-58-0 against the spread in their 96 games that had a posted line this season.
Royals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.5 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 5.02 |
| K/9 | 7.7 |
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Tigers Probable Pitcher – Eduardo Rodriguez
- Rodríguez’s team is 8-5-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The left-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed three hits in five innings against the Seattle Mariners.
- In 13 starts, Rodriguez has pitched through or past the fifth inning 11 times. He has a season average of 5.9 frames per outing.
- He has four appearances with no earned runs allowed in 13 chances this season.
- When Rodriguez starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 1-3.
- Rodríguez’s team has won six of his 13 starts this season.
- Games started by Rodriguez have a 6-7-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Tigers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Foley | 39 | 40.1 | 37 | 2.23 | 16 | 3 |
| Alex Lange | 38 | 38.2 | 50 | 4.19 | 2 | 15 |
| Chasen Shreve | 38 | 34.2 | 34 | 4.41 | 11 | 0 |
| José Cisnero | 38 | 36 | 40 | 3.25 | 10 | 1 |
| Tyler Holton | 29 | 49.2 | 44 | 1.81 | 4 | 0 |
Royals Probable Pitcher – Ryan Yarbrough
- Yarbrough gets the start for the Royals, his fifth of the season. He is 2-4 with a 5.29 ERA and 19 strikeouts in 32 1/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent appearance on Sunday, July 9, the left-hander tossed six innings against the Cleveland Guardians, giving up one earned run while surrendering six hits.
- Yarbrough will aim to go five or more innings for his third straight appearance. He’s averaging 2.9 frames per outing.
- He has had three appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Royals are 2-2 in Yarbrough’s four starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Over Yarbrough’s four starts, his team is 2-2.
- Yarbrough’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in one of four games.
Royals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Cuas | 37 | 37.1 | 46 | 4.10 | 3 | 0 |
| Taylor Clarke | 36 | 39.1 | 44 | 6.41 | 10 | 0 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 33 | 47.2 | 56 | 3.78 | 7 | 0 |
| Scott Barlow | 32 | 35 | 45 | 4.89 | 0 | 11 |
| Amir Garrett | 25 | 24.1 | 28 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
Tigers Hitting Trends
- The Tigers are 15-8 this season in games when they hit two or more homers.
- Detroit is 12-4 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has put up at least eight hits 53 times this season, and has a 40-13 record in those games.
- Detroit has a 35-9 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Tigers are 17-9 over the 26 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Royals Hitting Trends
- They have won seven of the 20 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 22 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 10-12.
- In 54 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 21-33.
- Kansas City has a 18-11 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 3-11 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Tigers vs. Royals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Royals (+128)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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